Tuesday, January 9 2018 16:00
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Progress in Karabakh settlement is excluded by 99%

Forecast: Progress in Karabakh settlement is excluded by 99%

ArmInfo.No progress is forecasted if not by 100%, by 99%, Alexander Iskandaryan, the Director of Caucasus Institute expressed such an opinion to the journalists in Yerevan. 

"It is not worth expecting a final settlement of the Karabakh  conflict in 2018. Such a forecast is completely devoid of  preconditions, since even the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs have long  ago abandoned attempts to resolve it. The efforts of the  intermediaries are reduced to attempts to reduce tension on the  border and create an atmosphere of mutual trust, he noted.

The political expert estimates the talk of war as a bubble, excluding  the possibility of a large-scale war in the foreseeable future. At  the same time, Iskandaryan does not exclude the escalation on the  Karabakh contact line, finding it difficult to predict its possible  scales.

According to his estimates, the development of the situation largely  depends on the efforts of the superpowers, Yerevan, Stepanakert, and  the internal situation in Azerbaijan. Iskandaryan does not forecast  an aggravation of the situation around Karabakh in connection with  the presidential elections in Azerbaijan for the simple reason that  in Azerbaijan the authorities are simply not elected.

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