Arminfo.info



 Friday, September 22 2017 12:16
David Stepanyan

Zardusht Alizadeh: Ilham Aliev does not need Sechin in Azerbaijan

Zardusht Alizadeh: Ilham Aliev does not need Sechin in Azerbaijan

Widely known  Azerbaijani political scientist Zardusht Alizadeh in an interview with ArmInfo shares his version of the reasons, goals and background of the latest statements  about the Karabakh settlement. He talks about the interests of Russia and the US, the ruling elites of the countries participating in the conflict in the negotiation process, and their influence on the prospects for settlement.

 

On September 18, Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian at the Armenia-Diaspora forum designated territorial territories as possible territorial concessions, "in the transfer of which there will not be a threat to the security of Artsakh and will not be endangered by a final settlement of the conflict." In fact, the minister only once again voiced one of the Madrid principles, however, this was the reason for another surge in the spirit of "not a inch of land to the enemy." In your opinion, what are the reasons for such, and repeated, statements by Yerevan?

 The position of Armenia plus Russia,  is unchanged: the conflict must be endless. Armenia, of course, would like to "resolve once and for all" the conflict in its  favor, but it understands soberly that the demiurge will not allow this. Therefore Yerevan only has to imitate certain movements and "initiatives.

Competent experts who know the essence of the conflict, serious statements are not attached to the statements of the responsible persons of Armenia and Azerbaijan.  As for the statements of the "patriots", they are practicing their bread. "Nothing personal, it's just business." At the same time, Russia, according to his estimates, achieved its goal - hung the two states on the hook of the conflict, supports fully dependent and loyal Moscow authorities in Baku and Yerevan, skillfully and effectively manages the conflict both through it and the region.  "Well, you are not looking for good from the good of the good." And the plebes can be fed through various artists representing highly independent and patriotic statesmen, such as "just about to be solved," or "we'll die, but not a step back, or "the issue of sovereignty over Karabakh cannot be a subject of discussion.

 

The document lying on the negotiation table assumes giving up  of at least six regions, including Kalbajar. However, recently commissioned, an alternative Lachin, asphalt road linking Armenia to the north of Karabakh through Kalbajar is just one of the indicators of the ephemerality of the "Madrid principles". Is it possible, in this light, to talk about the absence of negotiations in the negotiating agenda, in fact, leading to the resolution of the Karabakh conflict?

 It is possible and necessary to state the absence of any nationally-oriented government, both in Armenia and in Azerbaijan. It is quite clear that the continuation of the conflict dooms both peoples to dependence, backwardness and degradation. But the political will to withdraw from the custody of imperialist Russia, and there is no compromise solution for the authorities, and is not foreseen. There is only a desire to hold onto the post and articulate sounds that serve to perpetuate their power and privileges.  

 

Of course, Azerbaijan is the same object of the Kremlin's policy in the post-Soviet space, like Armenia. In these conditions, Baku continues to participate in the implementation of energy and transport projects aimed at isolating Russia. Does this create future preconditions for Moscow's pressure on Baku, including with the use of the Karabakh conflict?

 Both Armenia and Azerbaijan in issues related to the property interests of the political elite retain Moscow's relative autonomy. The Azerbaijani authorities pursue a policy of not isolating Russia, but a policy of protecting their own business interests from encroachments of greedy Russian oligarchs." Ilham Aliyev does not need Sechin  in Azerbaijan. In this case, the West is his ally. As for the Russian pressure with the use of the Karabakh map, this has been happening all the years since the collapse of the USSR. However, the Azerbaijani authorities maneuver, yielding to the Karabakh issue, while not yielding to the protection of their personal economic interests.

 

According to estimates from the United States and France, the "Madrid principles" lying on the table of negotiations today are practically non-alternative. Does the surrender of any Artsakh territories to Azerbaijan, as envisaged by the above-mentioned principles, come from the interests of Russia and will this not become a catalyst for a new war capable of enveloping the underbelly of Russia with another chaos?

 No progress in the architecture of the conflict is possible,  if those do not consider the interests of Kremlin politicians.  Armenia and Azerbaijan are sitting in a cage of conflict with thick bars that cannot be sawed with the simple desire of one side. To this end, according to Alizade, the joint coordinated work of the two sides of the conflict is necessary. What Russia and its local agents will never allow. Russia will allow only such a change that will deepen and strengthen its direct control over Armenia and Azerbaijan. This change can only be the deployment of Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh, after which it will be possible to safely say goodbye to the ghostly remains of our independence.

 

The last "sanctions" generated  increased tension in Russian-American relations cannot be projected onto the post-Soviet space, which Moscow has repeatedly assessed as a zone of its interests. How, in your opinion, will the deepening of the contradictions between Moscow and Washington affect the South Caucasus?

 In the South Caucasus, the struggle between the US and Russia is not to establish peace and security, but for someone to saddle a mare of conflict and drive the people. One of my Armenian colleagues once used to say that as long as Armenia and Azerbaijan have multidirectional vectors of political development, the conflict will not be resolved. As an Arabi expert , I did not even have the desire to discuss with him. The Arab-Israeli conflict was not resolved not because the patrons of the conflicting parties - the US and the USSR - were irreconcilable rivals, but because the conflict was beneficial to many players. The history showed that even after the collapse of the USSR and the transition of the Arabs to US control, the Middle East conflict Not allowed. The region is still under full control of Russia, the US is only developing plans for its ousting from the region. 

 

 The Russian experts in the South Caucasus generally consider the preservation of the "frozen" status quo of 1994 as the best scenario in line with Russia's interests. Does holding such an explosive state in conditions of inflation and the militarized region put the interests of Russia at risk precisely?

No. Russia is absolutely sure that the created instruments of control over the states of the region are sufficient and will not allow any side of the conflict to show independence and take a step without agreeing with it.  And if so, then it's a sin not to do business on short-sightedness and inadequacy of the ruling elites and to give the nearest circle to stuff their pockets with weapons, to be grateful to the father of the nation for providing excellent opportunities for a fantastic “gesheft”.

 

Related articles
 Tuesday, August 16 2016 07:59
 Friday, April 29 2016 09:04
 Friday, June 5 2015 08:31
 Friday, June 5 2015 08:30
 Friday, June 5 2015 08:27
 Wednesday, February 11 2015 08:12
 Thursday, January 22 2015 12:12
POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Official voting results of Russian citizens in Armenia have been  announcedOfficial voting results of Russian citizens in Armenia have been  announced
With With "demarcation" going at this rate it will reach Yerevan:  Pashinyan points out to Tavush residents the need to quickly transfer  4 villages to Azerbaijan
Pashinyan meets with Tavush residents as promised earlier: Details of  meeting have not yet been providedPashinyan meets with Tavush residents as promised earlier: Details of  meeting have not yet been provided
Stoltenberg: Azerbaijani-Turkish armed forces close cooperation  strengthens Azerbaijan-NATO relationsStoltenberg: Azerbaijani-Turkish armed forces close cooperation  strengthens Azerbaijan-NATO relations
Armenia and Azerbaijan now have opportunity to achieve enduring peace  after years of conflict - NATO Sec GenArmenia and Azerbaijan now have opportunity to achieve enduring peace  after years of conflict - NATO Sec Gen
Armenian government`s intention to waive the claims filed against  Azerbaijan in international courts to cause irreparable damage to  Armenian people - human rights activists Armenian government`s intention to waive the claims filed against  Azerbaijan in international courts to cause irreparable damage to  Armenian people - human rights activists 
Ardshinbank cardholders can now enjoy a 10% cashback!Ardshinbank cardholders can now enjoy a 10% cashback!
Higher school buildings to be managed by international company -  premierHigher school buildings to be managed by international company -  premier
Armenian CEC rep observe U.S. primaries Armenian CEC rep observe U.S. primaries 
Contemporary Indian writer Arjun Krishna Lal`s book released in  Armenian Contemporary Indian writer Arjun Krishna Lal`s book released in  Armenian 
U.S reaffirms commitment to durable and dignified peace between  Azerbaijan and Armenia - Joe Biden U.S reaffirms commitment to durable and dignified peace between  Azerbaijan and Armenia - Joe Biden 
Deepening Armenian-Indian relations among Armenia`s foreign policy  priorities Deepening Armenian-Indian relations among Armenia`s foreign policy  priorities 
Moscow Moscow "testing" its relations with Yerevan
Armenia`s possible withdrawal from CSTO should take country`s real  needs into account - Russian foreign office rep Armenia`s possible withdrawal from CSTO should take country`s real  needs into account - Russian foreign office rep 
Region closer to peace than ever before - president of Azerbaijan Region closer to peace than ever before - president of Azerbaijan 
Three Sad Stories about FraudstersThree Sad Stories about Fraudsters
Armenia`s Deputy FM admits setback in Armenia-EU visa requirement  simplification Armenia`s Deputy FM admits setback in Armenia-EU visa requirement  simplification 
Opposition is denied access to draft peace treaty with Azerbaijan -  MPOpposition is denied access to draft peace treaty with Azerbaijan -  MP
Stoltenberg: NATO sought to support stronger partnerships with both  Armenia, Azerbaijan in 2023Stoltenberg: NATO sought to support stronger partnerships with both  Armenia, Azerbaijan in 2023
Peter Stano: Armenia may apply to join EUPeter Stano: Armenia may apply to join EU
Azerbaijanis destroy13th-century Armenian khachkar in village of  Tsar, Shaumyan region of occupied ArtsakhAzerbaijanis destroy13th-century Armenian khachkar in village of  Tsar, Shaumyan region of occupied Artsakh
Zatulin: Strengthening Armenian-EU relations to require  revision of  Armenia`s membership in EAEUZatulin: Strengthening Armenian-EU relations to require  revision of  Armenia`s membership in EAEU
Basic principles of settling Armenian-Azerbaijani relations remain  unchanged - MFABasic principles of settling Armenian-Azerbaijani relations remain  unchanged - MFA
Oppositionist: Armenian government has failed its program, including  through CSTOOppositionist: Armenian government has failed its program, including  through CSTO
Foreign Minister: We are not negotiating surrender of villages in  Tavush region to AzerbaijanForeign Minister: We are not negotiating surrender of villages in  Tavush region to Azerbaijan
Foreign office: Today, mutual understanding between Yerevan and Baku  regarding mutual recognition of territorial integrity is higher than  month agoForeign office: Today, mutual understanding between Yerevan and Baku  regarding mutual recognition of territorial integrity is higher than  month ago
Statue honoring Soghomon Tehlirian unveiled in MarseilleStatue honoring Soghomon Tehlirian unveiled in Marseille
Armenian Revolutionary Federation holds protest in front of Armenian  Consulate in Los AngelesArmenian Revolutionary Federation holds protest in front of Armenian  Consulate in Los Angeles
Azerbaijan-Iran conflict predestined - Stepan Danielyan Azerbaijan-Iran conflict predestined - Stepan Danielyan 
Turkmenistan and Austria aim to expand the boundaries of bilateral cooperationTurkmenistan and Austria aim to expand the boundaries of bilateral cooperation
Senior Russian diplomat discusses Ukraine, South Caucasus at talks in  AnkaraSenior Russian diplomat discusses Ukraine, South Caucasus at talks in  Ankara
Armenian, Artsakh political forces issue joint statement  Armenian, Artsakh political forces issue joint statement
Our main goal is to return to Artsakh soil - Andrei SergeenkoOur main goal is to return to Artsakh soil - Andrei Sergeenko
AAA disappointed with financial aid to Armenia next year AAA disappointed with financial aid to Armenia next year 
Armenia committed to work actively on implementation of provisions of  EU resolution - Armenia NA speaker Armenia committed to work actively on implementation of provisions of  EU resolution - Armenia NA speaker 
European Parliament approves resolution on closer ties between the EU and ArmeniaEuropean Parliament approves resolution on closer ties between the EU and Armenia
Armenia intends to bring its domestic legislation to conformity with  ICC requirementsArmenia intends to bring its domestic legislation to conformity with  ICC requirements
Artsakh information Center calls on mass media to refrain from unfounded accusations against Artsakh authoritiesArtsakh information Center calls on mass media to refrain from unfounded accusations against Artsakh authorities
4 villages in Tavush are not included in Armenia`s administrative  borders  - minister4 villages in Tavush are not included in Armenia`s administrative  borders  - minister
Defense Minister: Defense Minister: "Nobody gave the order not to open fire"
Ararat Mirzoyan, Louis Bono discuss current security situation in  South Caucasus Ararat Mirzoyan, Louis Bono discuss current security situation in  South Caucasus 
Kremlin: Moscow to clarify with Armenian side situation around  Yerevan`s withdrawal from CSTO Kremlin: Moscow to clarify with Armenian side situation around  Yerevan`s withdrawal from CSTO 
Armenia hosting Francophonie Days Armenia hosting Francophonie Days 
Armenia`s authorities realizing Aliyev`s agenda by starting border  delimitation from Tavush - Mane Tandilyan Armenia`s authorities realizing Aliyev`s agenda by starting border  delimitation from Tavush - Mane Tandilyan 
South Caucasus stability one of Turkiye`s prioritiesSouth Caucasus stability one of Turkiye`s priorities
Tragic events in Nagorno Karabakh made France develop security  cooperation with Armenia - ambassador Tragic events in Nagorno Karabakh made France develop security  cooperation with Armenia - ambassador 
EU applies anti-Russian EU applies anti-Russian "geopolitical optic" everywhere - Russian  official 
Deployment of the EU Civilian Mission in Armenia aimed at  establishing lasting peace and ensuring stability in region - Paruyr  HovhannisyanDeployment of the EU Civilian Mission in Armenia aimed at  establishing lasting peace and ensuring stability in region - Paruyr  Hovhannisyan
Crossroads of Peace project divorced from reality Crossroads of Peace project divorced from reality 
PM: Armenian border guards wto perform their duties at Zvartnots  airport from August 1PM: Armenian border guards wto perform their duties at Zvartnots  airport from August 1
Pashinyan on Arshak Karapetyan`s dismissal reason and his special  relations with MoscowPashinyan on Arshak Karapetyan`s dismissal reason and his special  relations with Moscow
Premier: Yerevan sees and feels Turkiye`s presence in  Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization process Premier: Yerevan sees and feels Turkiye`s presence in  Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization process 
At meeting with French Ambassador, head of Armenia faction, notes  importance of sanctioning Azerbaijan for atrocities in Artsakh At meeting with French Ambassador, head of Armenia faction, notes  importance of sanctioning Azerbaijan for atrocities in Artsakh 
Pashinyan: External forces also provoked main force organizing ethnic  cleansing in KarabakhPashinyan: External forces also provoked main force organizing ethnic  cleansing in Karabakh
Our political force will follow path of institutional solutions -  ex-mayor of Yerevan Our political force will follow path of institutional solutions -  ex-mayor of Yerevan 
Yerevan is ready to expand its agenda with BrusselsYerevan is ready to expand its agenda with Brussels
Soviet Encyclopedia `to help` Pashinyan; Armenia`s territory is less  than 29,800 sq. km.Soviet Encyclopedia `to help` Pashinyan; Armenia`s territory is less  than 29,800 sq. km.
Yerevan is working to return prisoners from Baku, although at times  it looks like `Sisyphean task` - PashinyanYerevan is working to return prisoners from Baku, although at times  it looks like `Sisyphean task` - Pashinyan
If Armenia`s borders are If Armenia`s borders are "red line" for CSTO, let them demonstrate it  - Pashinyan
Pashinyan specifies timeframe of Armenia`s new Constitution  referendum Pashinyan specifies timeframe of Armenia`s new Constitution  referendum 
Read more




Commented