War is only possible if Pashinyan himself provokes this war in order  to retain power - expert

ArmInfo. Today, Armenia is not at peace, but in a "non-warlike" state, and the authorities' threats only confirm the instability of the "peace" they have established. Vahe Hovhannisyan, a member of the Alternative Projects group, writes about this in his article.

According to his post, the country's authorities are threatening that  if the opposition wins the elections, there will be war as early as  September. "They decided to go into the elections with this threat.  Those who shout 'war if the opposition wins' know full well that they  are only engaging in dirty speculation based on spilled blood and  fear. Our task is to clearly explain this to our society. What is the  structure of Nikol's peace treaty in reality? Let's try to  distinguish empty words from reality. The peace the authorities speak  of is some kind of bilateral written commitments made by the parties.  Formally, violating these commitments could become a pretext for one  side to launch military action against the other," the political  scientist noted.

He added that after the end of the 44-day war, the peace agreement of  the RA Prime Minister Pashinyan has the following structure: Artsakh  as part of Azerbaijan (with its Armenian heritage systematically  destroyed), the occupied territories of Armenia, delimited sections  of the Armenian-Azerbaijani border, a closed border with Turkey, the  beginning of trade. "The signed documents are well known:  declarations between Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, which the  parties, at least formally, did not renounce, the Washington  Tripartite Declaration, the signed peace agreement between Armenia  and Azerbaijan, and protocols on border delimitation and demarcation.  There may be other documents, but the public is not informed about  them. Meanwhile, Aliyev's public demands for amendments to the  Constitution of Armenia, the narrative of "Western Azerbaijan" and  the return of three hundred thousand Azerbaijanis to their  "historical homeland," the "Zangezur Corridor" speak of something  completely different. Pashinyan's public policy aimed at pleasing the  Turkic world, including narratives of "opposition revanchism,"  rejection of the Declaration of Independence, rejection of the  mention of Artsakh, constant gratitude to Aliyev, rejection of the  image of Mount Ararat, forgetting the topic of the Armenian Genocide,  anti-Russian steps, attacks on the church are also a concrete  manifestation of the policy "the current authorities," noted Vahe  Hovhannisyan.

He added that no sane political force in Armenia today or in the near  future will annul any documents signed in the name of the state. This  must be clearly communicated to our society. Regarding Aliyev's  public demands, the authorities say the Armenian side has no formal  obligations to them. Or, it does, but is keeping them secret from the  public.

"There is a simple and interesting solution to the government's false  and obscene thesis: 'If we are gone, there will be war.' The main  opposition political forces are issuing a joint statement reaffirming  their commitment to fulfilling all written and public commitments  made by Armenia. The joint statement will send a strong signal to the  international community, neighbors, and our society, and will  significantly increase the collective weight of the opposition  systems. If, however, any circumstances prevent them from acting  together, the main opposition forces can do so individually. There is  no adventurous leader or force in the opposition systems. The task of  the future authorities is not to "revise" the negotiation framework,  but to find solutions to numerous unresolved issues through peaceful  negotiations. With the help of well- thought-out and effective ideas,  new options for unblocking communications, increasing Armenia's role  and significance in the region, and ensuring a long-term, realistic  peace without humiliating shadow conditions that only weaken peace.  Today, we do not have peace, but a "non-war" state, and the threats  of the authorities only confirm the instability of the world they  "They've established it. In the coming years, the new Armenian  authorities must be able to skillfully manage this "non-military"  state and transform it into a real, guaranteed peace. After Artsakh's  capitulation, war is only possible in one case: if Nikol himself  provokes it to retain power," the political scientist wrote.