
ArmInfo. It appears that Turkey has chosen the following political model towards Armenia: on one hand, avoiding steps that could potentially benefit Armenia, and on the other hand, taking actions that support the current Armenian government's reproduction in the 2026 elections. Suren Sargsyan, expert in American studies, wrote on his Facebook page.
According to him, in practice, this will look like this: creating the illusion or perception that the normalization of relations between Armenia and Turkey is almost complete and that Armenia will soon be unblocked, while refraining from taking concrete steps that could bring real benefits to Armenia's national interests. In other words, the interests of the Republic of Armenia and the Armenian authorities are clearly divided. "Therefore, by June, Turkey will likely implement several steps that the Armenian authorities will present as important achievements, but will in fact be merely imitation or PR efforts. For example, initialing certain documents establishing diplomatic relations or opening borders, easing certain border restrictions for third-country nationals or cargo transportation, the entry of another airline into the Armenian air travel market, the restoration of Armenian churches in some cities in modern Turkey, and so on," the political scientist noted.
He added that recent statements by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan indicate that Turkey is ready to normalize relations with Armenia only if it receives the green light from Baku, meaning that real progress can only be achieved after the upcoming elections and referendum in Armenia. The legitimacy of the government after the elections is crucial for Turkey in terms of advancing its agenda. "At the same time, this support effectively makes the Armenian authorities dependent on Turkey, which, judging by these steps, is also part of a deliberate strategy," Suren Sargsyan noted.