
ArmInfo. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's recent meeting in Paris with Belarusian opposition "leader" Tikhanovskaya testifies to the continuing marginalization of Armenia's foreign policy. This move lacks geopolitical calculation and systemic logic, representing more of an attempt to fit into the Western agenda without any significant results, writes political scientist Vahe Davtyan.
First, as Davtyan noted, Tikhanovskaya has long been a tool of Western political strategists to pressure Minsk under the slogan of "democratic values." A meeting with her is not only pointless but also politically harmful, especially now that dialogue between Washington and Minsk has begun to recover, emerging from its frozen state.
"In recent months, there has been a significant intensification of US-Belarusian contacts. A breakthrough occurred on August 15, when Trump and Lukashenko spoke by phone, following which the American leader called Lukashenko "the deeply respected president of Belarus" and thanked him for the release of 16 political prisoners. This step became a de facto sign of Washington's recognition of Lukashenko's legitimacy, after the US had avoided using such language since 2020. Trump then called Lukashenko a "strong leader" and presented him with a symbolic gift - cufflinks with an image of the White House. Although this step was ceremonial in nature, in diplomatic terms it became a clear signal to Minsk about Washington's readiness to restore political contacts and reconsider the policy of freezing relations. According to media reports, Washington is currently discussing the reopening of the US Embassy in Minsk. Such messages from the American side were perceived in Minsk as a signal of the possibility of a new "grand deal". Lukashenko, in turn, "The time has come to develop a long-term framework for relations with the United States," he stated. At the same time, it's possible that one of the central goals of intensifying dialogue with Minsk is to create a new channel for normalizing relations with Moscow. "And while Washington is trying to restore working relations with the current Belarusian authorities in order to strengthen its influence in the post-Soviet space, the Armenian Prime Minister is rushing to take photos with a figure whose political capital in Western centers has already been exhausted," Davtyan emphasized.
According to him, Yerevan often proudly speaks of its strategic dialogue with Washington, presenting it as a major foreign policy achievement. However, such steps, meetings with opposition figures Washington has all but forgotten, and the disregard for the United States' real priorities, in fact undermine the foundations of this very dialogue.