
ArmInfo. History shows that the West's attempts to strengthen its position in the South Caucasus have always been situational. Political scientist and Doctor of Political Sciences Vahe Davtyan writes in a post on his Facebook page.
According to him, in the 18th century the Caucasus was the battleground for Russian-Turkish and Russian- Iranian conflicts. "As a result of these wars, Russia's position noticeably strengthened, and the Adrianople and Turkmenchay Treaties actually shaped the geopolitical landscape of the region. The Crimean War of 1853-1856 allowed the West and the Ottoman Empire to limit Russia's influence in the Black Sea, without losing sight of the Caucasus. However, the Russo-Turkish War of 1877-1878 reestablished Russia's military and diplomatic presence. Britain's intervention in the South and North Caucasus in 1918-1920, and prior to that, in 1917, the Anglo-French Convention recognizing the region as London's sphere of influence, as well as the US attempts to take control of the mandate of Armenia after World War I demonstrated the limitations of the West's Caucasian policy. Western calculations eventually gave way to the Soviet mega- project," the political scientist noted.
He added that the current West's initiatives, including those of US President Donald Trump, appear to be more like PR campaigns. The West's actual resources of influence in the South Caucasus are limited, while the main external actors in the region - Russia, Turkey and Iran - continue to shape the agenda. "The reason is simple: the geopolitical fate of any nation is largely determined by geography. Geopolitics in this sense is more of a natural science discipline based on the landscape and natural conditions of a territory. This was clearly understood by Prime Minister of Great Britain Robert Salisbury, who declared in the House of Lords in 1896: "English ships will not be able to climb the Taurus Mountains." From the historical perspective, the West can only exert situational influence in the South Caucasus, as is evident in the current situation," the political scientist emphasized.