Yerevan continues its geopolitically illogical policy - expert 

ArmInfo.  While a new socio-economic architecture based on both market logic and the balance of geopolitical pressure is beginning to form in the South Caucasus region, official Yerevan continues to pursue a political  line that simply goes beyond the existing geopolitical logic.  This  was written on his Facebook page by Doctor of Political Sciences Vahe Davtyan, commenting on  the increase in Russian gas supplies to Georgia.

"In the first quarter of 2025, the volume of Russian gas imports to  Georgia exceeded the volume of Azerbaijani gas imports for the first  time in 18 years. According to the data published by the National  Statistical Service of Georgia, the total value of gas imports to the  country during the reporting period amounted to $183.048 million, of  which $100.647 million (55%) came from Russia and $82.401 million  (45%) from Azerbaijan. Baku has been considered Tbilisi's main gas  partner for many years, especially after the launch of the South  Caucasus Pipeline (SCP). However, current data indicate a change in  supply logistics and geo-economic trajectory. Tbilisi appears to be  revising its energy and geopolitical strategic calculations in favor  of a more multi-vector and diversified model. The recent  inconveniences created for the Turkish capital are one important  manifestation of this," the expert noted.

He noted that against the backdrop of this process, Yerevan's  statements regarding the possible import of Azerbaijani gas are  noteworthy. "While a new socio-economic architecture based on both  market logic and the balance of geopolitical pressure is beginning to  form in the region, official Yerevan continues to pursue a political  line that simply goes beyond the existing geopolitical logic.  Returning to the example of Georgia, we are witnessing not only a  change in gas import volumes, but also a deeper trend of geopolitical  restructuring. The dominant position of Russian gas may be due not  only to price competitiveness, but also to the relative stability of  supplies amid growing uncertainty in the region's communications  infrastructure," Vahe Davtyan noted. 

He also pointed out that this may also indicate problems with the  resource base in Azerbaijan. According to the expert, Baku will face  a serious problem already in 2027 due to the obligation to double gas  exports to the European market. And since the Trans-Caspian gas  pipeline project is unlikely to be implemented in the near future,  Azerbaijan will be forced to reduce export volumes to other  destinations in order to strengthen its position in Europe.