ArmInfo. The European Union is gradually losing its once indisputable competitive advantages. This is what former Deputy Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia, member of the National Assembly of the Republic of Armenia from the opposition faction "Armenia" Armen Gevorgyan writes in his article "To go to Europe or find it in yourself" on the website of the Group of Alternative Projects.
"Is it possible to object to an institution such as the European Union? Humanly speaking, it is difficult to oppose something that embodies prosperity, security and justice. Especially in a society that has been striving for the same ideals for the past 34 years, but has not been able to achieve them. However, reality requires reasonableness in our assessments and responsibility in our actions," the former Deputy Prime Minister noted.
He recalled that the world order and the rules of the game after World War II were established by Stalin, Roosevelt and Churchill at the Yalta Conference. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, it seemed that there would be no need for a new Yalta, since the hegemony of the United States was unquestioned and unbreakable. However, the last decade has kept international relations in a state of constant tension. Those centers that seemed to have exhausted their influence and ambitions are reborn and changing the situation.
"A reasonable and rational approach for Armenia in these circumstances involves refraining from drastic steps, especially those whose prospects are not obvious, but the consequences of their implementation can be destructive. There is a feeling that the current authorities of Armenia, especially in the last two or three years, are guided by an inexplicable inner conviction that the era of Russian dominance in the region is ending, that it can no longer be taken into account, since it is losing its effectiveness and will collapse step by step, both militarily and economically. This is naivety bordering on irresponsibility," the oppositionist believes.
He called for not building illusions about the desire of the country's authorities to join the EU. "Why discuss the prospect of EU membership in this complex geopolitical situation and against the backdrop of strong global turbulence, if the prospects for EU expansion are uncertain (9 countries have been waiting for membership for many years and decades), and the EU institutions themselves need a new rethinking and clear transformation. The events taking place in the world, according to the politician, will lead to "Yalta-2" to determine the new world order, and it is still unclear what place the South Caucasus region and Armenia in particular will occupy in this structure.
"There is already a significant difference in the 'weight categories' between the EU member states. Internal differentiation will increase further with the accession of new members, which will place an additional economic burden on the old members. For this reason, a rational agenda for EU enlargement takes on a double meaning, where the main question is not what the new members will get from the EU, but what the EU will give to its citizens after the accession of the new members. This is a serious challenge to the financial and economic stability of the EU and to the prospects for maintaining its unity and cohesion. This problem is becoming especially acute as the Trump administration seeks to reconsider its commitments and approaches to the European continent. Europe's neoliberal agenda makes the modern democratic model of life more questionable for countries advocating for a conservative social order. In these countries, traditional values such as patriotism, family and religion are rapidly losing their relevance and former significance in the Western world. Unfortunately, it is in this sense that liberal democracy, which "rejects" these values, is no longer a brand that can be "exported," Gevorkyan noted.
He stressed that the migration situation in Europe creates a second dimension of life, where the rules of secondary nature, severe social polarization and high risks of intra-social conflicts arise. Two parallel realities - traditional and migrant - are becoming a serious challenge to long-term prosperity, security and democratic way of life. "This is the ontological (existential) challenge of democratic Europe: who is who? Will Europe be able to assimilate migrants and turn them into new, trustworthy citizens, or will they change the traditional way of life of Europe? The room for maneuver of the European Union and the preservation of its values is narrowing, as are the principles and mechanisms of its functioning. In the context of instability of modern international relations, the role of traditional international structures will be re- evaluated, and the EU cannot remain on the sidelines of these processes. In order to understand its involvement, the EU needs to conduct self-analysis, re-evaluate the effectiveness of decision-making and implementation, including from the point of view of maintaining or abandoning the fundamental principle of consensus," the politician believes.
He noted that during "Yalta-2" the issues of the Eurasian continent will undoubtedly be discussed, and most likely without Europe. There is every reason to believe that the South Caucasus will remain in the zone of Russia's strategic influence. "What will happen to us in this case? Three giants will gather at the negotiating table again, but this time the United States, Russia and China. Europe will be absent not because it is unworthy, but for a number of other reasons.
Firstly, Europe has no leader who could symbolize its strength and unity, who would speak on behalf of Europe and for Europe. Europe has no face of its own. Secondly, the world is gradually witnessing the erosion of the original image of European identity. The historical significance and value of Europe as the cradle of the highest standards of public life are fading. In the near future, these trends will only worsen. Thirdly, Europe has become completely dependent on the three participants of the new "Yalta" in matters of its own security, sales markets and access to natural resources. It is gradually losing its once indisputable competitive advantages," Armen Gevorkyan noted.