ArmInfo. The visit of Russian President Vladimir Putin to Baku as a reason to remind the world of Russia: we have not left, we are interested in peace taking into account Russian interests. Russian political scientist Sergei Markedonov shares this opinion.
The expert recalled that this is already the 7th visit of the Russian president to Azerbaijan. For comparison, he drew attention to the fact that his predecessor Boris Yeltsin never visited Azerbaijan for official purposes, and for the first time he visited the Caspian republic only as an "honorary pensioner" after resigning.
The political scientist also drew attention to the fact that the heads of the Russian Federation and Azerbaijan are meeting for the third time in 2024.
At the same time, Markedonov is confident that today the issue of Armenian-Azerbaijani reconciliation for Moscow has been pushed into the background, there are more acute and relevant topics (the Ukrainian conflict has come to Russian soil).
The political scientist is sure that Armenia and Azerbaijan, despite the repeatedly voiced theses about the "closeness of peace" and the readiness to sign the corresponding agreement literally by the end of the calendar year, are still very far from real normalization.
"If you do not identify it with the paper signed by the "high parties". The collective West is trying to use some weakening of Moscow's attention to the Caucasus to achieve peace in the name of the USA + EU. It is unlikely that this suits Russia. The visit to Baku is an excuse to remind about itself: we have not left, we are interested in peace taking into account Russian interests. If Yerevan does not want to hear this, they are trying to find listeners in Baku," Markedonov believes.
At the same time, the expert noted that Azerbaijan refrains from anti-Russian sanctions, shows readiness to interact with Russia beyond the ongoing confrontation between Moscow and Washington (+ Brussels).
"There are points of contact here. But let's be honest: everyone here is pursuing their own goals, no altruism, nothing personal, just business.
But can we talk about some kind of complete and final turn of Moscow towards Baku? Firstly, we should not rush to conclusions until the end of the negotiations. However, from this, it follows, secondly. Even in the event of their triumphant success, there is no need to rush. In addition to Moscow, Baku has a strategic alliance with Ankara. And here everything is far from being as clear-cut as someone would like. By the way, Azerbaijan also uses the Russian factor to raise its shares in the dialogue with Turkey.
Baku is not trying to make a "final choice" between the West and Russia, the Russian Federation and Turkey. And it will not "decide" in the foreseeable future, this is a given. But the growing importance of Azerbaijan in the region, at a minimum, must be taken into account. At a maximum, it should benefit from this for its national interests, also not forgetting about Armenia, and Georgia, and Syria with Iran, and about many other things," Markedonov summed up.