ArmInfo. The formation of a new world order is most clearly manifested in the Middle East, where there are certain challenges for Armenia. Doctor of Political Sciences Vahe Davtyan writes about this on his Facebook page.
According to him, Saudi Arabia recently announced its decision not to renew the oil agreement signed with the United States in 1974, which could create serious problems for Washington's main geopolitical instrument - the dollar. Recently it became known that Iran and Bahrain are going to restore diplomatic relations, severed in 2016 under direct pressure from Washington. It is noteworthy that Bahrain was one of the key US satellites in the Middle East. Suffice it to say that the US 5th Fleet is stationed in the waters of Bahrain. Both the decisions of Riyadh and Manana can be qualified as a strategic retreat of the United States in the Middle East, which is especially emphasized against the backdrop of China's growing influence in the region.
The political scientist emphasized that the restoration of both Iranian-Saudi (2023) and Iranian-Bahrain relations is actually taking place through the mediation of Beijing. The latter, soberly realizing the importance of the Gulf countries in energy supplies, is dynamically developing the Middle East vector of its own foreign policy. However, if initially this vector was fueled exclusively by geo-economic means, in recent years, especially since 2017, when China created the first military base outside its borders in Djibouti, Beijing began to demonstrate a more inclusive approach, skillfully using diplomatic, lobbying and other tools.
In fact, today a geopolitical axis is being formed, within the framework of which China will try to implement the Greater Eurasia project. One of the key mega-regions for China is the Middle East, in which Beijing is currently winning.
Anyone who is more or less versed in academic geopolitics will confirm that the Middle East and South Caucasus are organically connected regions, which is especially emphasized in the light of the Iranian factor. China's activation in the Middle East, carried out through the prism of deepening the strategic dialogue with Iran, creates a serious basis for the same Chinese inclusivity in the South Caucasus direction. In Beijing's geopolitical schemes, Iran is also seen as a player indirectly promoting Chinese interests in the South Caucasus. As a result, both parties will be satisfied. Tehran will gain access to the Black Sea and strengthen itself as a regional superpower, and China will be able to reduce India's growing influence in this direction by including new transport links in the Belt and Road Initiative. In this configuration, the key foreign policy and security challenge for Armenia should be the deepening of strategic dialogue with Iran and China in diplomatic, economic, cultural and other areas. "Although it would be more correct to talk not about deepening the dialogue with the mentioned countries, but at least for now, given the accession of Armenia to the Alliance of Religious Freedoms in 2020, which is also an anti-Chinese initiative, like the actual freezing of almost all key projects with Iran," noted Vahe Davtyan.