ArmInfo.The "Tavush for the Motherland" movement, led by cleric Bagrat (Srbazan) Galstanyan, demanding the resignation of the current Prime Minister of Armenia, fits into some new global trends emerging in world politics. Political scientist Vahe Davtyan holds a similar opinion.
The expert is confident that the current year, 2024, is a turning point, especially manifested in the results of the European Parliament elections that ended on June 9.
"As I forecasted a year ago, the right-wing forces achieved unprecedented positive results in the elections, especially the ultra-segment, which had been outside European politics since World War II.
Even the European People's Party, which received the majority of votes, felt a serious threat and was forced to deviate to the right from the center-right positions on a number of issues, in particular, related to climate and migration.
Therefore, this is in some sense a Pyrrhic victory for the EPP. A number of European political scientists are already saying that rather unfavorable conditions are being created for the party leader Ursula von der Leyen, especially in terms of implementing a pro-Ukrainian course," Davtyan noted. At the same time, the expert is confident that the radical change in the traditional political architecture in Europe is evidenced by Emmanuel Macron's decision to dissolve the French parliament and hold early elections, Olaf Scholz's rhetorical retreat, a sharp increase in the legitimacy of the Italian ultra-right forces and many other micro- and macro-processes. The political scientist added that an interesting situation is being developed in two aspects. "Firstly, Brussels' support for the ultra-liberal course of the current Armenian authorities will be significantly reduced. The stronger the right front in the EU, the more difficult it will be to make such decisions.
Secondly, certain problems may arise in the EU-Azerbaijan cooperation area. Von der Leyen is known for her efforts to develop economic and, in particular, energy relations with Baku. In the current situation, under pressure from the right wingers, she will have to soften her anti-Russian attitude, which in the future may lead to an increase in the weight of Russian gas on the European market (especially since supplies continue today with a volume of 40-45 million cubic meters per day). Obviously, such a prospect will be a blow below the belt for Baku," Davtyan noted.
In this regard, the expert drew attention to the fact that the whole essence of Bagrat Galstanyan's movement is aimed at building a national state with its entire mission. "Considering the continuing spread of right- wing ideology in the world (which is already becoming noticeable in the US), Bagrat Srbazan's struggle with its value system fits organically into the logic of the emerging new world order," Davtyan summed up.