ArmInfo."Turkey can be a guarantor of Armenia's security" is equivalent to "Recognize the sovereignty of Baku over Artsakh." Political scientist Beniamin Matevosyan shares a similar opinion.
The expert stated that there are more and more reports in the Armenian media, in which the ideas that "Turkey can be a guarantor of Armenia's security", "Armenia should integrate into the economic, transport and logistics projects of the Turkic world" run like a "red thread".
"To say that this trend is something unexpected would be a lie. It has been repeatedly said that the "operator" of NATO and the West in general in the region is Turkey, and integration into the "civilized family of the West" for Armenia means integration into the Turkic world.
By and large, it is precisely this option for the integration of Armenia (and the entire Transcaucasus as a whole) into the Turkic world that is proposed by the EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus and the crisis in Georgia, Toivo Klaar, when he says that Turkey can be useful in the matter of establishing regional peace as a leading country in the region," the expert added.
At the same time, Matevosyan is confident that in terms of its consequences, securing Turkey's status as a "guarantor of Armenia's security" (which can only happen with the withdrawal of the entire Russian military presence from Armenia) is equal to the recognition of Baku's sovereignty over Artsakh (October 6, 2022, Prague).
The political scientist believes that it is worth putting an equal sign between these two phenomena, since Turkey's strategic plans regarding Armenia do not differ from Baku's strategic goals regarding Artsakh. "Moreover, even the sequence of steps may be the same as it was in the case of the recognition of Artsakh as part of Azerbaijan.
Foremost, under the "guarantees of Western partners" that they will not allow attacks on the territorial integrity of the Republic of Armenia by Turkey if Armenia secures its status as a non-bloc country, Pashinyan's government may take this suicidal step for the country.
Furthermore, since no one has canceled the surrender of the "enclaves", and Pashinyan announced only the first episode of this political series in Tavush, before Armenia gets the status of a non-aligned country, Baku and Ankara will already have control over Armenia's vital communications (interstate roads on Georgia and Iran, Iranian and Georgian gas pipelines). And in the absence of a Russian contingent, this will make it possible to repeat the 'blockade trick' with the Republic of Armenia.
In conclusion, what happened then everyone saw, and it all ended with the war of September 2023...", the political scientist recalled. "Turkey in the status of guarantor of the security of the Republic of Armenia" in its destructiveness = "recognition of the sovereignty of Baku over Artsakh, in the hope that E. Macron and C. Michel will force I. Aliyev to guarantee respect for the rights and security of the Armenians of Artsakh." Zhirayr Liparityat and Russian-speaking Polish experts, of course, have a different opinion on this issue, but the opinion of these people should not interest anyone in Armenia, much less influence the policy of Armenia," concluded Matevosyan.