ArmInfo.The West will constantly put great pressure on the CSTO countries, and, in particular, on Armenia. Dmitry Suslov, Deputy Director at Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies (CCEIS) stated in discussions "Armenia at a crossroads. CSTO or NATO, non-bloc status", organized by the Analytical Center for Strategic Studies and Initiatives of the Republic of Armenia.
According to him, this pressure is aimed at reorienting the CSTO countries to fight against Russia. Expressing confidence that the war in Ukraine will last for a long time and will not end with a peace treaty, despite the initiatives of the Russian Federation along the entire front line, the expert noted that against the background of the worsening situation in Ukraine, the West is already increasing its anti-Russian policy in other regions, including in the CSTO space. This puts the countries of the Organization in a difficult position, since they cannot completely reorient themselves towards Russia due to this pressure, but they cannot cut off ties with their CSTO partner. The expert forecasts that Russia, after its victory in Ukraine, will continue to dominate the post-Soviet space. In his opinion, the CSTO countries can only maintain the status quo, not go over to Russia's side in the Ukrainian issue, but also not allow the West to use them in anti-Russian politics. "After the victory in Ukraine, Russia will become stronger, it will have the most powerful, battle-hardened army in Eurasia, so it is advisable for the CSTO countries to maintain good relations with it," the expert said.
In this context, he added that Armenia is moving in the exact opposite direction, and from the Russian point of view, it is going over to the enemy's side in the conditions of open confrontation between the Russian Federation and the West. According to Suslov, the current leadership of Armenia is not diversifying its foreign policy, contrary to its claims. Constant rhetoric that Russia has failed in its role as an ally, demonstrative accession to the International Criminal Court, and the upcoming visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to Yerevan will make Armenia one of the most anti-Russian countries in the post-Soviet space. According to the expert, Armenia's actions were largely determined by the belief in Russia's defeat in Ukraine, but the Armenian authorities miscalculated. "The price for reorienting to the West and going over to the enemy's side will be high. It has already paid part of this price - this is the loss of Nagorno- Karabakh," the director of the Center said.