ArmInfo.Russian political scientist Sergei Markedonov voiced the motives of the Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan for turning to the history of the second Karabakh war.
The expert announced that the Prime Minister of Armenia is once again bringing the topic of the results of the second Karabakh war to the public spotlight.
"A politician is not a historian. It is unlikely that Pashinyan is professionally engaged with the problems of source studies. Does he have a different motivation? What is it? Is it accidental that his "June theses" appeared here and now? And will there be political consequences from their pronunciation," the political scientist asked.
In this vein, he stated that it cannot be said that on June 20, 2023, Nikol Pashinyan discovered something fundamentally new in the empiricism of the second Karabakh war (and the process of peaceful settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict as a whole).
"Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly spoken about Russian mediation, options for a ceasefire, while his viewing angle was much larger. Robert Kocharyan's readiness for Baku's concessions and the responsibility of the second president of Armenia for withdrawing the unrecognized NKR from the peace process, his opponents have been talking for years since 1999. There is no particular novelty in Pashinyan's words today. The question arises: what is the point of reopening these wounds now?", Markedonov continued.
According to the political scientist, Armenia faces the most difficult challenges and prospects for making decisions in the spectrum between unpleasant and terrible. Markedonov added that a return to the status quo 1994-2020 is impossible, even the ardent opponents of the prime minister understand this.
"There are no military resources and a critical mass of public support. External players are also not eager to implement the maximalist plans of Yerevan of the past years. Hence the inevitability of unpopular decisions and the desire to find consistent narratives that the Armenian society and politicians could accept, even if in the bitter pills format. Hence the active promotion of theses about the inevitability of concessions and defeats," the Russian expert is convinced.
At the same time, Markedonov wonders if Pashinyan is engaged in political presentism, shifting responsibility to his predecessors, Russia? "Yes, of course, he is a politician, not a scientist. He wants to maintain his power in these specific conditions. It is hard to deny that he is also guilty of creating them. But for the sake of objectivity, we must admit other" fathers of defeat ". There is always a problem with this, because usually "defeat is an orphan", and "triumph has many parents"!
In conclusion, the political scientist expressed his conviction that the Armenian society and the political class as a whole will have to discuss complex systemic things more than once beyond the conflict between Nikol Vovayevich and Robert Sedrakovich.
"With the understanding that it is not only a personal factor, dreams and wishes determine the political agenda. And this conversation, obviously, is not for one month or even one year," Markedonov summed up.
It should be noted that RA Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan today gave public testimony to the parliamentary Inquiry Committee for Studying the Circumstances of the Hostilities Unleashed on September 27, 2020 (44-day war), . The parliamentary opposition stated that it did not intend to participate in this "show". In his speech, the Prime Minister of Armenia directly or indirectly tried to shift the responsibility for the current situation to the previous authorities in the person of the second President Robert Kocharyan, during whose governance Artsakh was removed from the negotiating table. Moreover, he repeated the already repeatedly voiced thesis, allegedly that it was Robert Kocharyan who tried to surrender Meghri to Azerbaijan. Accusations were also made against Armenia's ally, Russia, in the context of the signing of a tripartite statement on a ceasefire in the zone of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. However, on none of the voiced accusations, the Armenian prime minister presented convincing evidence, everything was limited by his perception of the issue.