US intelligence forecasts "tense and instability" in Baku-Yerevan  relations 

ArmInfo. Relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan "are likely to remain tense and unstable in the absence of a peace treaty." This is the forecast of the US intelligence agencies.

According to Turan, the heads of the CIA, FBI, Defense Intelligence  Agency and the National Security Agency presented their annual Global  Risk Review to Congress on Wednesday.

Regarding the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, they referred  to the military confrontation on the interstate border, the lack of a  ceasefire mechanism, and " Azerbaijan's intention to use military  pressure to achieve its goals in negotiations with Armenia."

"The presence of the armed forces in close proximity to the border  increases the risk of armed confrontation between Armenia and  Azerbaijan, although such clashes are likely to be limited in  duration and intensity," the report says.

The report recalls that since May 2021, military clashes have been  regularly taking place on the interstate border and around  Nagorno-Karabakh. The most intense outbreak occurred in September  2022, when Azerbaijani forces launched a coordinated attack at  several locations along the border, seizing part of Armenian  territory, resulting in the loss of about 300 servicemen.

"Some progress has been made in the peace talks, but the most  difficult issues related to state borders and the future of  Nagorno-Karabakh are far from being resolved," the report says.