ArmInfo.A long-expected event is unfolding in the South Caucasus now. The Russian-Turkish alliance of convenience seems to be producing results. Evidence thereof is that Turkey has for the first time accused its ally, the USA, of being behind the terrorist act in Istanbul, political scientist Grigor Balasanyan stated at stated at the panel discussion entitled "Current processes in South Caucasus: Russia's role in ensuring regional security."
Nothing similar has ever happened before, he said. "Of course, Russia's attempts to turn Turkey into a 'gas or grain hub' will one day produce results. Erdogan is already accusing the USA of training terrorists in Syria and using them in his country, which is surprising as Turkey itself used terrorists against us just two years ago," Mr Balasanyan.
As regards Azerbaijan, "it is not as easy as it seems."
"Azerbaijan is in conflict with itself: on the one hand, it is stating Russian peacekeepers must leave Artsakh; on the other hand, in broad daylight, it fires at these peacekeepers thereby confirming the need for their presence. We must realize that the issue of the Artsakh Armenians' security will not be settled in Brussels or Washington - they will sign the so-called agreement only to forget about it the following day. The capitals will be the venue for finding ways of supplying energy resources to Europe that would serve as alternatives to Ukraine, which requires the so-called Zangezur corridor," the expert said.
Iran could ensure regional security. Iran has warm relations with Russia in all areas, and acting against Russia would be tantamount to acting against Iran. "Offering condolences to Armenians is one thing, but taking actual steps to ensure the Armenians' security is another thing. And whatever attempts to ignore Russia's policy and efforts could be made, the reality can hardly be ignored," Mr Balasanyan said.
Political scientist Gagik Keryan stressed that the Caucasus is an arena of clashing interests of the global centers of power. According to him, the centers, which had for the past three decades remained inert, have now intensified their activities over the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement process, which is makes one think of the reasons for this activity.
"A settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict would enable the centers of power to find means of influencing not only Armenia and Azerbaijan, but also - in the future - Iran. One of the main goals is depleting Russia's resources and surrounding it with active hotbeds," the expert said. In this context, Mr Keryan is sure that a settled Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is not in the West's interests.
On the other hand, Russia is concerned with stability in the Transcaucasia, as it can release it resources. "Russia has great energy and economic plans, but stability is the key condition," the expert said. Azerbaijan and Turkey are hostile states for Armenia, with their anti-Armenian stance and plans, including their policy ethnic cleansing toward Armenians.
"But at the same time we need an alliance with a nation capable of exerting greatest influence on the two centers. And it is certainly Russia.
"And we should not forget that, with Armenia's not playing any role in ensuring Artsakh's security, Russian peacekeepers are guaranteeing the Artsakh Armenians' physical existence and inviolability of the Armenian-Turkish border. If we do not purpose a pro-Russian policy, we will soon find ourselves in an 'Alexandropol-2' situation," Mr Keryan said.