ArmInfo. As of today, there are all the prerequisites and impulses that allow us to forecast that Iran and Central Asia, neighboring Armenia, may become new hotbeds of serious conflicts. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, former Foreign Minister of Artsakh Arman Melikyan.
"I believe that all these prospects are seen and realized in Brussels which, among other things, encourages the European Union to take on a certain role in the South Caucasus. It is not clear yet what Armenia will get from this, but it is clear what Azerbaijan and even Russia will get, Taking into account the extreme difficulty of organizing the supply of Azerbaijani energy resources to Europe without Russia," he said.
According to the diplomat, against this background, Armenia continues to pose a threat, embodying the resumption of hostilities in the region, in which case Azerbaijan's supplies to Europe may be suspended. In this light, according to him, the possible concessions that Armenia may be forced to make, will take place against the backdrop of universal solidarity.
Melikyan believes that the very fact of taking on a partial role and functions of the OSCE Minsk Group by the head of the European Council, Charles Michel, is a confirmation of Aliyev's statements about the complete senselessness of further continuation of the chairs' activities. Accordingly, in his opinion, the very involvement of Michel in the settlement zone, coupled with the disappearance of the joint mediation platform, creates the best starting conditions for Baku at a new stage of negotiations.
"First of all, we need to take into account the fact of a sharp increase in the EU's interest in the supply of energy from Azerbaijan as a result of the Russian-Ukrainian war, as well as the fact that Baku made relevant promises to Brussels. And the content of Charles Michel's Brussels statements, in fact, only confirms all this. Moreover, the EU cannot give any real guarantees of the implementation of the Armenian-Azerbaijani agreements reached in Brussels, simply because it does not have a military presence in the region. And the fact that Russia has this presence allows us to expect its cooperation in order to ensure the successful implementation of the mediation efforts of the European Union," Melikyan summed up.