Arminfo.info




 Wednesday, January 26 2022 20:10
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Attempts to transfer the security of the post-Soviet space  to NATO will only increase the level of tension in the conflict

 Forecast: Attempts to transfer the security of the post-Soviet space  to NATO will only increase the level of tension in the conflict

ArmInfo.Attempts to transfer the security of the post-Soviet space to NATO will not only not reduce the level of tension in the conflict, but will even increase  it, which, in the light of the ongoing processes around Ukraine, is  actually already happening.

A similar opinion was expressed to  ArmInfo by Sergey Markedonov, a leading researcher at the Institute  for International Studies of the Moscow State Institute of  International Relations of the Russian Foreign Ministry,  editor-in-chief of the Journal of International Analytics

"It is necessary to be clearly aware that the trasfer of the security  of the post-Soviet space to a single North Atlantic denominator, in  turn, complicates the completion of the transition of the post-Soviet  countries to the status of full-fledged, established states. And it  is the situation in the post-Soviet space that remains the most  important priority on the European agenda, what, in fact, emerges  from the current, intensive negotiations between Moscow and the  collective West," he stressed.

According to Markedonov, US and NATO allies in these talks are trying  to narrow the focus on the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine.  In his opinion this is being done in order to divert negotiations  from the general problems of European security to the Ukrainian  direction and thereby force Russian diplomats- negotiators to justify  themselves, defend themselves, react, but not play ahead of the  curve. Meanwhile, for Moscow, ensuring security on the territory of  the former USSR is the most important position, without which it is  very difficult to talk about other Russian interests.

The analyst considers that NATO enlargement to the post-Soviet space,  the strengthening of Brussels' influence in these territories due to  the reduction of Moscow's influence is not so much a key issue as the  what will happen in the countries that Markedonov describes as  countries with a complex composition, by the latter, the analyst  means countries with a multi-ethnic population, still unfinished  formation of national identity and insufficient experience in  international activities.

Returning to the Russia-West talks, Markedonov underlined the efforts  of NATO, US and EU negotiators to build a common line of response to  Moscow's initiatives on security guarantees. At the same time, taking  into account their thesis about the open door policy for NATO and the  impossibility of Russia gaining a de facto veto on its expansion, one  should not expect positive trends in the negotiations today, in his  opinion.

"Moscow, in turn, does not at all consider the right of a country to  join any integration alliance to be absolute. Emphasizing the need to  take into account the interests of players who are unable or  unwilling to join such an alliance. Otherwise, the fundamental  principle of the indivisibility of security is violated and a club  appears privileged countries that determine the rules of the game for  other countries. In any case, the negotiation process, despite the  abovementioned, continues and the parties are in no hurry to withdraw  from it. Let's see what will be the written response to the Russian  Federation's initiative on security guarantees and the results of the  visits of the foreign ministers of the member countries NATO for  further consultations with the Russian Foreign Ministry," Markedonov  summed up


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