Forecast: Azerbaijan`s infringement of Iran`s interests may involve  Tehran into conflict

ArmInfo.The current problems and contradictions between Moscow and Baku are due to the impossibility of recognizing in the framework of international law  any solution to the conflict imposed by force. The leader of the  Constructive Party, political scientist Andrias Ghukasyan, expressed  a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"Considering that Moscow does not fulfill its own promises, Baku  today is trying to put pressure on both the Russian Federation and  Armenia. And the recent blocking of the highway connecting Goris and  Kapan on the territory of Armenia is part of these attempts. At the  same time, Aliyev's such a behavior significantly expands the borders  of the conflict, significantly affecting the interests of Iran. Since  the trade turnover of Iran with Armenia is carried out precisely  along this artery. The latter circumstance can draw Tehran into the  conflict with all the consequences for the entire region, "he said.

The political scientist, in general, explains the actions of  Azerbaijan on the Goris-Kapan section, which connects Armenia and  Iran by road, by the collapse of agreements on the use of these  communications.  This allowed Baku to close this road, unexpectedly  for Yerevan, in the absence of alternative routes.  According to him,  we are talking about trilateral agreements with the participation of  Russia. Ghukasyan also suggested that new agreements that would open  the road were reached with the mediation of Moscow.  Commenting on  the goals of Azerbaijan, which prompted its leadership to resort to  another hostile act against Armenia, Ghukasyan suggested that it is  about pressure on Yerevan in the issue of the soonest demarcation and  delimitation of borders. He also did not rule out the continuation of  pressure from Baku on the issue of advancing the agenda for the  conclusion of the so-called peace treaty with Armenia.

"Without a doubt, Aliyev is trying to promote this agenda bypassing  the format of the OSCE Minsk Group.  I think this can have very grave  consequences. The situation in the region may again escalate, and the  negative consequences of such a scenario cannot be ruled out. Against  this background, Armenia missed almost a year to strengthen the army,  to form new fortified positions on the changed line of contact. In  this light, it seems that our government is pinning all its hopes on  resolving the current situation on Russia, "he stressed.

According to Ghukasyan's forecasts, such a policy could have very  grave consequences, both for Armenia and personally for Prime  Minister Nikol Pashinyan, due to its contradiction with the policies  of the United States and France. Including due to the non-recognition  by the international community of the tripartite statement of  November 9, 2020. Meanwhile, the latter continues to demand that  Armenia and Azerbaijan return to joint solutions to the problem,  including determining the status of Artsakh on the basis of the  "Madrid principles".