ArmInfo.In my opinion, Armenia and Nikol Pashinyan personally, following the results of the early parliamentary elections, may well expect a repetition of the scenario he implemented in the spring of 2018 with respect to the then Prime Minister Serzh Sargsyan. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by the head of the Department of Eurasian Integration and Development of the SCO of the Institute of CIS Countries Vladimir Evseev.
"As far as I can judge, the election results were falsified. The results of almost all pre-election opinion polls, according to which Pashinyan's" Civil Contract "party should have received fewer votes than the bloc of former President Robert Kocharian "Armenia", allow us to assume this. Ad if the latter manages to prove the fact of falsification, if the people support them, Armenia may well be covered with another revolution, "the expert predicts.
Such a scenario, in his opinion, will inevitably entail political destabilization, in which Moscow, according to Evseev, is not interested at all. First of all, due to the fact that the absence of internal stability in Armenia automatically generates new problems between Russia and Azerbaijan. Evseev, against this background, expressed his conviction that Nikol Pashinyan is pro-Western, stressing that the Armenian Prime Minister and the collective West have common interests in the direction of squeezing the Russian army out of the South Caucasus.
"At the same time, Pashinyan does not care at all that our withdrawal from Armenia will mean a loss of sovereignty for your country and lead to a national catastrophe. I really hope that Yerevan still understands all these actual prospects. Especially amid regional impulses which have not stopped after the 44 day war. And I think that the more Western countries interfere in attempts to resolve regional problems, the more the situation will destabilize,'' Evseev emphasized.
In this light, the expert put special emphasis on US policy as a factor forcing both superpowers and regional countries to subject their own policies to constant revisionism. According to him, it is the work of the Biden administration that makes constant changes and adjustments to the policy of Russia, Turkey, Iran, the countries of the South Caucasus themselves and even the EU countries involved in one way or another in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict.
"In general, at this stage, the settlement of the problems between Armenia and Azerbaijan requires from Russia and Turkey, other interested parties, rather strenuous and hard work. However, for its successful progress, let alone completion, it is necessary to create a safe environment in Armenia itself with the aim of Yerevan being able to hold negotiations. Taking into account the still unclear post-election prospects in Armenia, it is too early to talk about this, " Evseev summed up.