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 Thursday, July 1 2021 15:54
David Stepanyan

Expert: Russia is not interested in a new "velvet" revolution in  Armenia

Expert: Russia is not interested in a new "velvet" revolution in  Armenia

ArmInfo.In my opinion, Armenia and Nikol Pashinyan personally, following the results of the early parliamentary elections, may well expect a repetition of the scenario  he implemented in the spring of 2018 with respect to the then Prime  Minister Serzh Sargsyan. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo  by the head of the Department of Eurasian Integration and Development  of the SCO of the Institute of CIS Countries Vladimir Evseev.

"As far as I can judge, the election results were falsified. The  results of almost all pre-election opinion polls, according to which  Pashinyan's" Civil Contract "party should have received fewer votes  than the bloc of former President Robert Kocharian "Armenia", allow  us to assume this. Ad if the latter manages to prove the fact of  falsification, if the people support them, Armenia may well be  covered with another revolution, "the expert predicts.

Such a scenario, in his opinion, will inevitably entail political  destabilization, in which Moscow, according to Evseev, is not  interested at all. First of all, due to the fact that the absence of  internal stability in Armenia automatically generates new problems  between Russia and Azerbaijan. Evseev, against this background,  expressed his conviction that Nikol Pashinyan is pro-Western,  stressing that the Armenian Prime Minister and the collective West  have common interests in the direction of squeezing the Russian army  out of the South Caucasus.

"At the same time, Pashinyan does not care at all that our withdrawal  from Armenia will mean a loss of sovereignty for your country and  lead to a national catastrophe. I really hope that Yerevan still  understands all these actual prospects. Especially amid regional  impulses which have not stopped after the 44 day war.  And I think  that the more Western countries interfere in attempts to resolve  regional problems, the more the situation will destabilize,'' Evseev  emphasized.

In this light, the expert put special emphasis on US policy as a  factor forcing both superpowers and regional countries to subject  their own policies to constant revisionism. According to him, it is  the work of the Biden administration that makes constant changes and  adjustments to the policy of Russia, Turkey, Iran, the countries of  the South Caucasus themselves and even the EU countries involved in  one way or another in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict.

"In general, at this stage, the settlement of the problems between  Armenia and Azerbaijan requires from Russia and Turkey, other  interested parties, rather strenuous and hard work. However, for its  successful progress, let alone completion, it is necessary to create  a safe environment in Armenia itself with the aim of Yerevan being  able to hold negotiations. Taking into account the still unclear  post-election prospects in Armenia, it is too early to talk about  this, " Evseev summed up. 

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