ArmInfo.There is no other description to the current policy of the Armenian leadership than as an ostrich. Independent analyst Saro Saroyan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.
"Thus, these people are trying to move forward, completely immersed in the election campaign and ignoring the situation at the border. Apparently, they hope that the problems will be solved on their own, which is impossible. Moreover, Azerbaijan periodically generates new problems, and this will continue. All this is understood by many, only our military-political leadership pretends that it does not understand, "he stressed.
According to the analyst, the Armenian leadership has driven itself into a dead end with its own hands, which does not imply and does not leave any alternative to it besides submission to proposals, initiatives and pressure from outside. And the same acting Prime Minister Pashinyan reacts on this situation with offers of assistance addressed either to Russia or to the international community. Such a lack of clarity, in Saroyan's opinion, is evidence of a possible game through which the Armenian leadership vainly hopes to persuade one side or the other to act in its favor.
In reality, the West and the Russian Federation, according to the analyst, look at the situation from a completely different angle, suggesting retaliatory steps only in the event of serious steps from Armenia. Saroyan considers Pashinyan's European voyage, through which the prime minister is trying to force Moscow to fulfill its own allied obligations to Armenia, as another manifestation of provincial agility. The analyst is convinced that it is completely impossible to achieve a result through such manipulations. In this light, he stressed the need to have alternative foreign policy paths in the mind, having the subjectivity of political leadership, and not demonstrating them.
According to the analyst, various international military-political circles assess the situation in Armenia much more rationally than its own leadership. Accordingly, they see the lack of real will of Yerevan to any path of movement in various situations and the lack of sincerity in the declared desires. In this light, the policy of Yerevan in the direction of creating new obstacles for Moscow, in his opinion, is of no interest to either the West or, moreover, Russia itself. "At the same time, I do not at all consider the current policy of Russia towards Armenia a natural result of the behavior of our leadership. Only Armenians can think that the Moscow is punishing us for wrong behavior. I assess such thoughts as a manifestation of slavish psychology and thinking. In reality, this policy of Russia is conditioned by the need for geopolitical balancing, in turn conditioned by the activation of Turkey. From the point of view of Moscow and Ankara, the geopolitical balance in the South Caucasus continues to be violated. Accordingly, during the same meeting between Putin and Biden, I expect an attempt to bring it into balance, "he stressed.
According to the analyst, Armenia in all this, should be concerned with calculating its own risks arising from these geopolitical shifts. In particular, the risks of receiving new blows, which is by no means excluded. In his opinion, the problem, in particular, should be considered in the light of the possibilities for Armenia to preserve its sovereignty and territory, if the country continues to adhere to the current foreign policy orientation. In this light, Saroyan noted that for Armenia, maintaining the current foreign policy contains almost as many risks as changing it.