Forecast: If the members of the former regime do not make a coup,  tougher steps will follow from France

ArmInfo.As a rule, appeals similar to those addressed by French President Emmanuel Macron to Ilham Aliyev are further accompanied by two possible scenarios. Hovsep  Khurshudyan, chairman of the "Free Citizen" public organization,  expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

On June 3, French President Emmanuel Macron, in a letter to Ilham  Aliyev, voiced a call to facilitate the organization of access for  the UNESCO mission to Artsakh. Noting the need to continue thorough  work to create conditions for sustainable peace, the French President  said that he expects Aliyev to delimit the border between Armenia and  Azerbaijan, as well as release and reunite Armenian prisoners with  their loved ones.  "In the absence of a positive reaction from Baku,  France and its allies, if possible, will begin to toughen their  position, after which tough actions will follow. The matter is about  sanctions. If Macron's words are not followed by concrete actions,  France, a country that is a permanent member of the UN Security  Council, will face a decline in its international image, "he  stressed.  In this light, the expert is convinced that sending this  letter to Aliyev, the French President was well aware of all these  diplomatic and political realities. Accordingly, France, for example,  could well have voiced the same calls at the level of ambassadors in  Armenia and Azerbaijan. And the fact that this was not done, the fact  that Macron actually jeopardized not only the image of France, but  also his own image, in Khurshudyan's opinion, speaks of the  intentions of Paris to show consistency in this direction.

"And this, in turn, makes it possible to predict that in the absence  of force majeure in Armenia - internal political upheavals and  destabilization of the situation by the "members of the former  regime", right up to a coup d'etat, very soon France will make  substantial and tougher steps in respect to Azerbaijan ", he  stressed.  In this light, Khurshudyan noted that today everything is  being done in Armenia to create an atmosphere of anarchy and  destabilization. With control over most of the electronic media, the  revanchist political forces are raising a cosmic scale around any  problem. Very often, even from scratch, generating misinformation and  various manipulations.

Against this background, according to his forecasts, despite the lack  of chances to become a majority in the parliament of the future  convocation, the "member sof former establishment" are quite capable  of generating post-election processes that will overshadow both the  election results and the legitimacy of the new authorities. And all  this - regardless of who becomes the new prime minister. In this  light, Khurshudyan does not exclude provocations from these forces,  even if their supporters are arrested. 

"In this light, it is too early today that the upcoming early  elections will reduce internal political tension.  Moreover, judging  by the latest impulses, it will only increase following the election  results. The only way and option to prevent such post-election  prospects is the full implementation of laws. Already today, the  Police and the NSS need to seriously investigate information about  the distribution of pre-election bribes and, if confirmed, punish  them to the fullest extent of the law. In the end, the rule of law in  Armenia must be used to its fullest. There is simply no other way,  including for the implementation of our foreign policy tasks, "  Khurshudyan summed up.