ArmInfo.As a rule, appeals similar to those addressed by French President Emmanuel Macron to Ilham Aliyev are further accompanied by two possible scenarios. Hovsep Khurshudyan, chairman of the "Free Citizen" public organization, expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
On June 3, French President Emmanuel Macron, in a letter to Ilham Aliyev, voiced a call to facilitate the organization of access for the UNESCO mission to Artsakh. Noting the need to continue thorough work to create conditions for sustainable peace, the French President said that he expects Aliyev to delimit the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as release and reunite Armenian prisoners with their loved ones. "In the absence of a positive reaction from Baku, France and its allies, if possible, will begin to toughen their position, after which tough actions will follow. The matter is about sanctions. If Macron's words are not followed by concrete actions, France, a country that is a permanent member of the UN Security Council, will face a decline in its international image, "he stressed. In this light, the expert is convinced that sending this letter to Aliyev, the French President was well aware of all these diplomatic and political realities. Accordingly, France, for example, could well have voiced the same calls at the level of ambassadors in Armenia and Azerbaijan. And the fact that this was not done, the fact that Macron actually jeopardized not only the image of France, but also his own image, in Khurshudyan's opinion, speaks of the intentions of Paris to show consistency in this direction.
"And this, in turn, makes it possible to predict that in the absence of force majeure in Armenia - internal political upheavals and destabilization of the situation by the "members of the former regime", right up to a coup d'etat, very soon France will make substantial and tougher steps in respect to Azerbaijan ", he stressed. In this light, Khurshudyan noted that today everything is being done in Armenia to create an atmosphere of anarchy and destabilization. With control over most of the electronic media, the revanchist political forces are raising a cosmic scale around any problem. Very often, even from scratch, generating misinformation and various manipulations.
Against this background, according to his forecasts, despite the lack of chances to become a majority in the parliament of the future convocation, the "member sof former establishment" are quite capable of generating post-election processes that will overshadow both the election results and the legitimacy of the new authorities. And all this - regardless of who becomes the new prime minister. In this light, Khurshudyan does not exclude provocations from these forces, even if their supporters are arrested.
"In this light, it is too early today that the upcoming early elections will reduce internal political tension. Moreover, judging by the latest impulses, it will only increase following the election results. The only way and option to prevent such post-election prospects is the full implementation of laws. Already today, the Police and the NSS need to seriously investigate information about the distribution of pre-election bribes and, if confirmed, punish them to the fullest extent of the law. In the end, the rule of law in Armenia must be used to its fullest. There is simply no other way, including for the implementation of our foreign policy tasks, " Khurshudyan summed up.