Forecast: Yerevan will appeal to the UN Security Council, only after  making sure of the inaction of the CSTO and Moscow

ArmInfo.The settlement of the current situation on the Armenian- Azerbaijani border in the Syunik region requires exclusively diplomatic and political steps. We must  do everything to rule out a military solution to this problem. Head  of the Analytical Center for Globalization and Regional Cooperation  Stepan Grigoryan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

On the morning of May 12, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces crossed the  border in the area of  Sev Lich (Black Lake), deepening into the  territory of Armenia up to 3.5 kilometers in order to establish  control over the lake. On May 13, Yerevan officially turned to the  CSTO for help in this regard. And on May 14, acting Prime Minister  Nikol Pashinyan turned personally to Russian President Vladimir Putin  for help. According to the latest data, as a result of the  negotiations, the saboteurs retreated 2 kilometers and today they  must finally leave the territory of Armenia.

"At the same time, despite the diverging interests of most of the  CSTO countries with the interests of Armenia, contacting the CSTO was  the right step. Now, in any case, we need to wait for an answer,  although I personally have no special expectations from this body. We  see that the CSTO is not ensures the security of Armenia,  furthermore, is not going to do it at all, "he said.

According to the political scientist, in this light, Yerevan needs to  pin its hopes for ensuring security on Russia. The latter, according  to his estimates, also behaves in a rather complicated manner.  However, unlike the same Belarus, Kazakhstan and other CSTO member  states from Central Asia, it still has security interests that  coincide with the interests of Armenia.

In this light, Grigoryan stressed the presence of many other  countries, friendly towards Armenia, ready to provide political and  other assistance to Yerevan. In the context of the recent statement  of the French President on support for Armenia, the political  scientist noted that he has absolutely no doubts about the positive  response of Paris in response to Yerevan's request for help. "Taking  into account France's permanent membership in the UN Security  Council, Paris, one way or another, will find ways to support us,  even if Russia vetoes the Security Council meeting on the Armenian  agenda. In this light, the sequence of steps of our government is  absolutely correct. This appeal to the CSTO, an appeal directly to  Russia, an appeal to the OSCE countries, and in the end, all this may  well be followed by an appeal to the UN Security Council. I think  that in the absence of a solution to the problem in the near future,  our government will appeal to the UN Security Council. But this will  happen only if all other mechanisms are inactive, including Moscow's  obligations to comply with all points of the trilateral statement of  November 9 last year, "the political scientist summed up.