ArmInfo.For a number of objective reasons, Yerevan will not agree to a peace treaty with Baku now. Vadim Mukhanov, senior researcher at the MGIMO Center for Eurasian Studies, expressed this opinion to ArmInfo, commenting on the expectations periodically voiced from Baku.
On April 12, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev once again announced his plans to conclude a peace agreement with Armenia, complaining about the absence of similar signals from Armenia. "The conflict is resolved and we need to look to the future. If Armenia considers this option, there will be many areas of activity for international players in terms of demarcation, delimitation, interaction. I hope that representatives of the OSCE Minsk Group will soon come to us with some proposals, and we will study them very carefully, "Aliyev said.
"It is clear that, proposing to Yerevan to conclude a peace agreement, Baku first of all intends to finally close the page of the Karabakh problem in the form in which it existed before the last war. Of course, Baku intends to close the issue of the need to determine the status of the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh Republic. However, rather, it seems that further attempts to promote this idea will only add oil to the Yerevan fire, "he predicts.
In this light, Mukhanov recalled that after the defeat of Armenia in the 44-day war, the Armenian society refuses to recognize even the agreements that ended the hostilities. Namely, the Tripartite Statement of November 9th, which gives even more vague prospects for the possibility of discussing some new agreements with Azerbaijan by Armenia. Especially taking into account the fact that in the current situation Yerevan clearly cannot count on much from such an agreement.
"Early elections will soon be held in Armenia. Moreover, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan made the decision to hold them under the pressure of his political opponents. Accordingly, now the Armenian authorities will not sign any agreement with Baku, especially in their current dependent position. And of course, none of the Armenian politicians will risk their future by concluding such an agreement, "Mukhanov summed up.