ArmInfo.In my opinion, there were enough topics for discussion during the Pashinyan-Putin meeting. These are the CSTO, the EAEU, problems related to membership in these structures. Moreover, considering the post-war situation, in which Russia is already providing security in Artsakh. Director of the Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
On April 7, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow. During almost 4-hour negotiations, the interlocutors discussed the restoration of trade and economic ties and transport communications, the normalization of the situation in Artsakh with the help of peacekeepers, the prospects for interaction in integration associations in the Eurasian space. "Armenia has no opportunity for real, direct contact with Azerbaijan and Yerevan does this through Moscow. Of course, there is the problem of prisoners of war, Azerbaijan's attempts to exert pressure on Armenia indirectly through Russia. And, of course, unblocking communications. The issue in which the interests of Moscow, Yerevan and Baku are rather contradicting, "he said.
According to the political scientist, today Moscow is striving hard to avoid the situation hanging in the air after the signing of the most important Statement of November 9th. And the very document of January 11th speaks of Russia's desire to lead and develop events further. Unblocking communications, in his opinion, is the most important part of this process. Iskandaryan especially stressed that all this is happening in the pre- election situation in Armenia, in which it is important for Prime Minister Pashinyan to present at least some success to the electorate.
At the same time, according to Iskandaryan, contrary to the ideas widespread in Armenia, Russia does not have unlimited opportunities to influence Azerbaijan. But Moscow can still influence the decisions made in Baku. And, in his opinion, it is certainly possible to work towards strengthening the security of Armenia with the help of Russia. Another question is how far Russia itself is ready to go in this direction. Commenting on the possibility of discussing the internal political situation in Armenia at the Putin- Pashinyan meeting, Iskandaryan stressed that the issue rests on the resources of Armenia, and not on the individuals. According to him, the question is not who is in power in Armenia today, Pashinyan or someone else. The question is that post-war Armenia has rather limited resources. Accordingly, relations between Russia and Armenia are formed primarily based on this fact, and not on who is at the helm of power in the republic.
"I don't think that a person who came to power in the way that Pashinyan did it can meet the interests of Moscow. And yes, according to some information, one can add to this rather warm relations between Putin and Kocharyan. But on the other hand, Moscow, by the way, Yerevan, too, has always been able to distinguish personal issues from politics, in particular from geopolitics. In this light, Moscow, I think, expects the end of the internal political confrontation in Armenia. After that it will talk about its agenda with the leader, who will win the confrontation, "he stressed.
Commenting on the prospects for the upcoming elections, Iskandaryan predicted a rather small turnout, since it would be very difficult to get voters to the elections. In his opinion, people are simply tired. Tired of everything. And today the society is in shock. But it will gradually come out of it. Moreover, it is already coming out of it. Including in the political sector.
"At the same time, I don't think that today two poles have been formed in Armenia: the authorities and the opposition. There is Pashinyan's pole, but there is no single oppositional pole with Robert Kocharian, Serzh Sargsyan, Levon Ter-Petrosyan," Sasna Tsrer "and everyone else. And I can hardly imagine such pole. This has never happened in Armenia and I do not expect it to happen now. The opposition does not hope to take power, but all its forces individually hope to take their conditional 5%. And this makes this very opposition competitors with each other, and not with the authorities, "the political scientist concluded.