ArmInfo.The expectations of the recognition of the Armenian Genocide by US President Joe Biden on April 24, in general, seem to be quite reasonable. Such opinion was expressed by the academician of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Turkologist Ruben Safrastyan.
"I can't say this with absolute certainty. I can only note the presence of certain geopolitical processes that give the US president such a decision additional prospects. In particular, I note the fact of changes in the overall strategy of the United States, the center of which is gradually moving to the Pacific basin, giving China the status of its most important target, " he stressed.
While maintaining its importance in the eyes of the State Department against this background, the Middle East, according to the academician's forecasts, will gradually give way in favor of the Pacific basin. In this light, according to Safrastyan, Turkey's importance as an important regional Middle Eastern player is also expected to decline. Such geopolitical trends, in his opinion, are reinforced by the negative approach of the American elite towards Ankara, due to Erdogan's intransigence in relations with Moscow.
"The same behavior of Turkey regarding the issue of purchase of S-400 complexes from Russia makes Washington want to punish Ankara for refusing to compare its own interests with the interests of its main NATO ally. However, it should also be noted that Turkey continues to fulfill all its obligations under NATO membership, while remaining an integral part of the West. The overall picture is complemented by certain messages from the White House in favor of the final recognition of the genocide by the United States, " he stressed.
The latter, according to Safrastyan, are also the result of problems in relations between the United States and Turkey. Thus, the Biden administration's tougher stance on Ankara compared to Trump's position gives the American president's recognition of the Armenian Genocide additional prospects. Especially in the light of the already accomplished fact of the recognition of the genocide by the US Congress. In general, the recognition of the genocide by the US president, according to the academician's forecasts, will be an important circumstance and an incentive in the process of international recognition of the genocide as a whole.