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 Wednesday, February 17 2021 14:57
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Yerevan`s lack of aspiration "for more" will end with  Europe simply giving up on Armenia

Forecast: Yerevan`s lack of aspiration "for more" will end with  Europe simply giving up on Armenia

ArmInfo. Continuing allied  relations after the 44-day war, Moscow and Yerevan, no doubt, remain  in their relations with the European Union on opposite positions.  An  expert of the Armenian Institute of International Relations and  Security Ruben Mehrabyan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"With Moscow, in any case, judging by the latest statements by  Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, no rapprochement on the part  of Brussels is expected, but also toughening of the already imposed  sanctions is expected. Nevertheless, the readiness of Armenia and the  EU for the deepening of relations stipulated in the already ratified  CEPA agreement continues to be questionable, "he said.

Moreover, according to the expert's assessment, recorded in the  Association Agreement, the deepening of relations between Armenia and  the EU cannot be characterized as being protected from pressure from  a third party. And Yerevan has not presented a more or less tangible  strategy regarding its own intentions regarding this agreement.

Recently, the process of ratification of the Comprehensive and  In-depth Partnership Agreement (CEPA) signed by Armenia and the EU in  November 2017 was completed. It is assumed that the document will  enter into force in full on March 1.

Mehrabyan assesses the political part of the agreement between Europe  and Armenia as a roadmap for the necessary changes in Armenia in  accordance with European standards. Meanwhile, over the past 3 years,  there is no information even about the preparatory work for the  implementation of the agreement, not to mention the strategy. And the  same treading on the place of reforms in the judicial and legal  sphere is another confirmation of this.

"Thus, if Armenia, for some reason, does not show the ability to move  forward in relations with the EU within the framework of Brussels'  traditional" more for more "approach, Europe will simply give up on  us.  Especially, given that Armenia, taken separately is in the  European priorities in the conditional tenth place.  At the same  time, against the background of serious problems with the lack of  certainty in the desires of Europe itself, in general, it is simply  impossible to bring under a common denominator several dozen very  different positions. In this light, in the absence of Yerevan's  aspiration more, "it is unrealistic to expect certainty in a separate  Armenian direction from Brussels. And, apparently, many such issues  will again be resolved with effective coordination from the United  States," Mehrabian predicts.

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