Arminfo.info


 Tuesday, January 26 2021 14:49
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Terrorist mercenaries will plunge the South Caucasus into  endless instability

Forecast: Terrorist mercenaries will plunge the South Caucasus into  endless instability

ArmInfo. The presence of terrorist mercenaries in the South Caucasus will plunge the entire region into endless instability, putting all its countries in the  face of a terrorist threat without exception. Viktor Nadein-Rayevsky,  senior researcher at the Institute of World  Economy and  International Relations of the Russian Academy of  Sciences,  expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"So far, we hear only talk about Turkey's intentions to consolidate  the presence of terrorists in Azerbaijan and in the territories  occupied by Baku during the last Artsakh war. In general, I assess  this prospect as very real, but fraught with very unpleasant  surprises for Azerbaijan itself and threats for all neighboring  countries, "he said.

Nadein-Rayevsky explains the prospects of threats and unpleasant  surprises by the rather complex controllability of such forces.  According to him, in the absence of setting appropriate tasks for  them, respectively, of financing, terrorists are quite capable of  expanding their activities in Azerbaijan itself, although  Baku and  Ankara believe that they are able to control them.

According to the expert, all this is recognized in any case, both in  Baku and Ankara, as well as in Tehran and Moscow. This is especially  evident in the struggle of the Iranians and Russians against  terrorism in Syria. At the same time, terrorists from the "gray" zone  in Azerbaijan, in his opinion, can be used against Iran.

"I can imagine them on the territory formed by the Turkish base in  Azerbaijan. But it is rather difficult for me to imagine the  settlement of terrorists with their families near the territories  controlled by Russian peacekeepers. The threat of such a scenario is  so great that I do not believe that it can be realized and that  Moscow will remain silent, "he said.

"In the end, the presence of terrorists will put an end to the plans  to unblock communications in the region.  And Russia will not allow  this, including due to the prospect of the terrorist threat moving  further north.  The settlement of the terrorist threat is a  significant part of the Russian agenda in relations with Turkey.  

"Moscow is working in this direction on various vectors. The threat  has approached the borders of Armenia. In this light, Yerevan,  together with Russia, must immediately take appropriate diplomatic  and other steps to ensure its own security," Nadein-Rayevsky summed  up.


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