ArmInfo. If our politicians don't come to their senses, then the specter of internal destabilization that has already appeared in Armenia may well become flesh and, which is important, blood. Director of the Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
"The concluded trilateral agreement was the reason for quite serious street protests. The end of hostilities in Artsakh destroyed self-censorship regarding government criticism. In this light, further complication of the internal political situation is quite possible. Unless, of course, politicians take effective measures to get out of this situation. Together>, he stressed.
Commenting on the text of the agreement itself, the political scientist described it as a sketch of the variant of the conflict settlement, initially prepared by the OSCE Minsk Group. According to him, given the curtailed form of the adopted document, it is not yet clear how it will work and what are the guarantees of its implementation, especially from Baku. At the same time, the appearance of Russian peacekeepers in the conflict zone, in his opinion, will add guarantees for the implementation of agreements in any scenario. "In my opinion, this document may be finalized in the future - not everything is clear from the point of view of security guarantees. In five years, they can be extended only with the consent of the parties. But there is nothing about Artsakh's status at all. In this light, at any moment turbulence may arise, especially if Azerbaijan feels dissatisfied, "he stressed.
On November 9, the leaders of Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Vladimir Putin, Nikol Pashinyan and Ilham Aliyev, adopted a joint ceasefire statement, which entered into force on November 10. Within the framework of this agreement, Armenia makes a number of territorial concessions. Yerevan undertook to transfer the Kalbajar region to Baku by November 15, the Aghdam region by November 20, and the Lachin region by December 1. All the territories occupied during the war remain with Azerbaijan. Lachin corridor - 5 km wide, will provide communication between Artsakh and Armenia under the control of Russian peacekeepers, who will also be deployed along the line of contact in Artsakh.
Returning to the topic of protests in Armenia, the political scientist noted the fact of Prime Minister Pashinyan's control of the government and parliament against the background of the lack of clear leaders among the protests. The majority in parliament is a political bloc, of which he is the leader. And the system of power is in the hands of the ruling elite. And judging by the statements of the prime minister, he is clearly determined to preserve the stability of the current government.
"The opponents of the government, of course, can move to active actions, but they are unlikely to achieve a revision of the agreement on Artsakh. Even if they manage to get Pashinyan to be replaced by someone else. In particular, it is not clear how to change the structure of what is happening in Artsakh," the deployment of peacekeepers already taking place, etc. It is quite difficult for me to imagine the denunciation of agreements against this background, "Iskandaryan summed up.