ArmInfo.In the statement of the Turkish Vice President regarding the situation around Nagorno-Karabakh, in addition to voicing the intention to send troops to Karabakh, I would note one more, important point. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by the chief researcher of the IMEMO RAS, president of the Scientific Society of Caucasian Studies, Doctor of Historical Sciences Alexander Krylov.
"In particular, Oktay openly offered Russia to remove from the solution of the Karabakh problem the United States and France, the two co-chairs of the Minsk Group. And solve the issue together with Russia," returning "the territory of Artsakh to Azerbaijan. In other words, Turkey offers Russia to ensure the surrender of Artsakh and Armenia due to Azerbaijan's inability achieve this task on the battlefield, "he stressed.
On October 22, Turkish Vice President Fuad Oktay voiced Turkey's readiness to send troops into the war zone in Artsakh, if "if Azerbaijan turns to her for help."
According to the forecasts of the Russian political scientist, a positive response, especially the implementation of Turkish proposals by Moscow, seems impossible. And there are enough reasons for this, including the lack of an appropriate level of relations between Moscow and Ankara.
In this light, Krylov believes that Ankara, in fact, did not count on a positive reaction from Russia in response to this geopolitical twist. He, on the whole, assesses Oktay's statement as an attempt to probe Moscow's reaction to the prospect of the appearance in Azerbaijan, not of Turkish mercenaries, but of a Turkish regular army. "I think that the reaction of various representatives of our authorities has finally clarified the situation in this regard for Ankara," he stressed.
In general, Krylov conditioned the statement of the Turkish vice president with concern about the future development of events in the theater of operations. According to him, Oktay's statements are evidence of the insufficiency of the current Turkish support for a successful offensive of the Azerbaijani Armed Forces. "As far as I understand, Turkey seriously fears the further development of the situation on the Karabakh front in the most unfavorable scenario for the Azerbaijani army. Namely, another military defeat of Azerbaijan. In this case, Ankara will have to save the Aliyev regime. And only instructors, mercenaries, terrorists and weapons are here The Turks will have to directly participate in the battles of their regular army, "the Russian political scientist summed up.