Forecast: There are no opportunities for the implementation of the  revolution in Belarus today

ArmInfo. The protest actions started after Alexander Lukashenko was declared president, will  continue, the whole question is in their scale and to what extent  people are ready for a prolonged protest. But most of them are not  ready to go to the end and sacrifice themselves.

At the same time, under the conditions of an authoritarian regime, the very fact that  Belarusians take to the streets is already a serious civil challenge.  The Belarusian political scientist Valery Karbalevich expressed a  similar opinion to ArmInfo.

To note, according to the latest data from the Central Election  Commission of Belarus, following the presidential elections,  Lukashenko won with 80.23% of the vote, and his main rival Svetlana  Tikhanovskaya with about 10%. Residents of Minsk and other cities  have taken to the streets for several days in a row to express  disagreement with the results of the presidential elections. The  demonstrators consider the election results to be rigged. Armenian  Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has already congratulated President  Lukashenko on his next re-election.

Against this background, within the government, according to the  political scientist, there is no crisis, but there is loyalty to its  old leader. There are also no signs that the power apparatus may  refuse to obey Lukashenko, which could lead to the loss of control  over the situation. In this light, the political scientist does not  see the possibility of a revolution in Belarus today.

The main opposition candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, according to  Karbalevich, is not ready for the role of a real leader of the  opposition and the country and has nominated herself as a technical  candidate in order to provide moral support to her husband.  Tikhanovskaya came to the fore solely as a result of the arrest of  two of Lukashenko's main rivals, one of whom is her husband Sergei  Tikhanovsky. Thus, according to the political analyst, the protest  movement has no leader - the most active oppositionists are  neutralized.

"Lukashenko's positions have weakened recently. But not so much that  he lost control over the state apparatus and, accordingly, the  country. At the same time, I am convinced that even in the event of a  large- scale protest movement, he will use force. However, it is  premature to talk about large-scale mass protests today, ''  Karbalevich summed up.