ArmInfo.Against the background of the ongoing Turkish- Azerbaijani military exercises, including in the territory of Nakhijevan, and the concentration of quite serious military equipment there, the Nakhijevan direction remains a rather serious direction. The leader of the party, former prime minister of Armenia Aram Sargsyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
From July 29 to August 10, Azerbaijan and Turkey are conducting regular, planned, joint military exercises. According to the plan of the exercises, the drills of the ground forces will be held from August 1 to 5 in Baku and Nakhijevan, bordering Armenia. Military aviation exercises will be held from July 29 to August 10 - in Baku, Nakhijevan, Yevlakh, Ganja and Kurdamir. The exercises will involve personnel, armored vehicles, artillery and mortars, military aviation and air defense systems of the two countries.
It is noteworthy that officially nothing was reported about the number of personnel participating in the exercises. However, according to Armenian military experts, from the Turkish side, just like last time, only one army battalion is participating in the exercises. At the same time, the joint exercises are presented by the Azerbaijani and Turkish propaganda as unprecedented in their scale and tasks.
"It should be noted that 2021 will be the year of clarification of Russian-Turkish relations in the context of the centenary of the Russian-Turkish agreement. This also creates additional tension, including in the Nakhijevan direction. Nevertheless, considering and analyzing the current situation as a whole, I personally do not predict serious threats from Nakhijevan, "he said.
Sargsyan stressed that the implementation of the most negative scenario - Turkish military attack into the territory of Armenia in the absence of a response from Russia, seems extremely unlikely. According to him, Moscow's passivity will make completely meaningless the presence of the 102nd Russian military base in Armenia, as well as Russia's membership in the CSTO. Moreover, it will deprive Moscow of its status as a serious factor in the region.