ArmInfo.There is no need to talk about the unification of the opposition, and primarily the one that represents the old authorities, in the absence of a social demand. Political scientist, Director of the Yerevan-based Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan expressed a such opinion to journalists.
He noted that as of today in the sector of domestic politics and the alignment of political forces, a typical for Armenia picture has developed, in which the opposition is not able to unite, since it does not see real prospects for itself. "It makes sense to unite when there is a prospect to break through the wall, if there is a prospect, uniting, to win. Yes, then it makes sense to unite. If there is no such prospect, then there is no need to unite, "the political scientist emphasized.
According to him, the divided opposition leaders feel quite comfortable in these conditions, since they do not consider it expedient to "lie under someone else". <The problem is not to bring people together, the problem is to create people. Even today's opposition, consisting of old and new ones, so to speak, can not do anything even if it unites, because there is no main thing - a social demand, without a public demand, it is simply pointless to do anything," Iskandaryan stressed.
Developing the topic, the political scientist noted that the revolution of 2018 did not happen by chance, it was obvious that the situation was moving towards this. "The former government, represented by the Republican Party, had very little social legitimacy, and with a rating of no more than 15% it is impossible to live forever - this was even then understandable to any qualified analyst," the political scientist emphasized, noting that the talk about such force majeure , like the coronavirus crisis, is incapable of being the primary factor for a change of power. "This happens when the authorities have very low legitimacy. Then any non-standard event that happens can become a catalyst for domestic political problems. If the authorities have high legitimacy, then such situations do not turn into force majeure.
The political scientist did not deny that not everything is smooth in Armenia as of today and the new government also makes mistakes and the problems are visible. "But it is also clear that the fall in the ratings of the authorities is not so fast. Nikol Pashinyan's ratings cannot be compared in any way with Serzh Sargsyan's ratings in 2010, that is, after 2 years of the latter's coming to power. Even then, Sargsyan came to power with a low rating. He kind of adapted to lead the country, having a low rating. Republican power has generally learned to exist with low ratings. Of course, they did not get pleasure from it, but they found technical methods - rigging elections, batching processes as needed.
But the mistake was that the Republicans thought that this could be done forever. It doesn't happen like that, "Iskandaryan noted. According to the political scientist, the ratings of the current Armenian government are high and are declining slowly.
"This is a rather slow process, because a certain social discontent existing in society, in order to turn into a political one, must result in a so-called" political channel ". But this political channel does not exist. And the channels of the old government that it is now offering to the disaffected will not work.
The society of the old government does not believe, an ordinary Armenian citizens does not believe it. As soon as they believe in something, the channel will work, but not yet, "the political scientist concluded.