ArmInfo.There is a point of view that the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, is trying to divert attention from Idlib, provoking tension in Karabakh. The political scientist Stanislav Tarasov said this in an interview with ArmInfo correspondent, answering the question whether tension in Syria could affect the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh.
The expert noted that Aliyev is not such an adventurer as Turkish President Recep Erdogan, and he will not take any serious actions on the Karabakh front. "Turkey has other problems now. It is fighting in Syria, in Iraq, in Lebanon, and now it's not at all up to Karabakh," Tarasov emphasized. Touching on the results of yesterday's talks between Russian Presidents Vladimir Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Erdogan, the expert said: "An armistice agreement was signed, which includes 3 points. The fact that the Foreign Minister presented the agreement signed by the Minister of Defense is a kind of cross on diplomacy. There is a point of view that yesterday an option was adopted that would stop the bloodshed, but it is intermediate. A whole series of questions remained behind the scenes; moreover, much in this matter is related to how Iran will behave. As far as I know, at the end of March in Tehran
According to Tarasov, 3 scenarios are possible in the Syrian settlement. "The first scenario involves freezing the situation with Idlib, the second option is dividing the province into zones of influence, and finally, according to the third, Turkey and Russia will establish joint control over Idlib. But this is very difficult, because there are a lot of terrorists concentrated in Idlib, and it's not clear what to do with them. It's one thing to destroy them, as the Americans did in Allepo and completely another- squeezing them out, but there is a question is, where? ", the expert noted. Tarasov emphasized that such a scenario could also provoke another wave of refugees that will flood into Turkey. "Idlib is an important strategic point for Turkey. And Erdogan, on the one hand, doesn't worsen relations with Russia, and on the other, he opened Pandora's box, and now it's hard for him to find a solution. Moreover, as you know, he opened the border for refugees, which was the first time since 2015.
The situation is not simple, the multi-way combination continues, Moscow made its moves, let's see how Paris, Berlin and Washington will react to this, "the expert concluded. To note, yesterday, in connection with the situation in Idlib, the Kremlin held negotiations between the presidents of Russia and Turkey, Vladimir Putin and Recep Erdogan. Following the talks, the parties came to an agreement according to which the cessation of all hostilities along the existing contact line is announced from midnight on March 6, Russia and Turkey also create a security corridor 6 km wide to the north and south of the M4 highway in Syria. In addition, Russian and Turkish forces are starting joint patrols along the Turkish M4 highway