Monday, March 2 2020 14:23

ArmInfo. Turkey has already turned to the US and NATO for help against a background of an impossibility of reaching an agreement with Moscow on the situation around Idlib.   However, everything is not so simple as the Washington made it clear  to Turks. Director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the  National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Academician Ruben  Safrastyan, expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"Accordingly, the further development of the situation will largely  depend on the position of the United States. It seems to me that  Russia will try to help the Bashar Assad government to take control  of Idlib all the way through. At the same time, a compromise option  is by no means excluded. A version of similar to the agreements  reached on more eastern sections the Syrian-Turkish border. We are  talking about creating a buffer zone in Syria controlled by the  Turkish and Russian military, " the Turkologist said.

The intensification of Russian-Turkish contradictions observed in  Syria, according to Safrastyan's forecasts, is quite capable of  leading to geopolitical security risks for Armenia and Artsakh.  In  particular, he does not exclude the possibility of pushing Azerbaijan  by Turkey to a more aggressive position on the Artsakh issue. Baku  may try to increase the degree of tension in the Artsakh direction in  order to divert Moscow's attention from Syria in the direction of the  South Caucasus.

The academician emphasized that such a scenario, of course, is caused  not only by Ankara's wishes, but also by the position of Baku. And  the latter's willingness to follow the possible demands of Turkey to  participate in its geopolitical games is a big question.

Moreover, the expert, against the background of the agreements signed  recently during Erdogan's visit to Azerbaijan, sees certain negative  trends. In particular, it is about increasing the supply of arms to  Azerbaijan from Turkey. According to him, the latter testifies to  Ankara's intentions to further tie Baku to itself and NATO arms.   "Russia is the main supplier of weapons to Azerbaijan. 

However, in the strategic plan, Turkey, of course, is interested in  becoming the main supplier of weapons to Azerbaijan, the weapons  which meeting NATO standards. Given the agreement signed recently in  Baku, we can state that, at least at least in this matter the  interests of Turkey and Azerbaijan are identical. Baku is trying to  use the capabilities of Ankara in order to obtain weapons from the  West, "Safrastyan concluded.