ArmInfo.Using force on the Amulsar issue, it will become much more difficult for the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, to contrast himself with his predecessors, leading researcher at the Center for Euro-Atlantic Security of the Institute for International Studies at Moscow State Institute of Foreign Relations Sergey Markedonov expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
"The protests by civic activists who blocked Amulsar have already provoked a tough reaction from law enforcement agencies. And in case of repeated use of force, which, given the current situation, is by no means excluded, the Armenian prime minister will lose such a powerful argument as the non-use of harsh methods against opponents," he said.
Amulsar mine is located 10 kilometers from the resort of Jermuk. According to the explored reserves of gold, the deposit is the second largest in Armenia. Geological exploration of the area, which began in 2007, ended in 2015 with an environmental and social assessment of mining at the mine. Civil activists and environmentalists opposed the mine's operation, organizing mass protests in this regard, forcing Lydian Armenia to conduct additional research.
"We see that, as a politician who enjoys significant popular support, Pashinyan has already faced a difficult dilemma between maintaining his own high rating and political and economic expediency. Along with the well-known economic benefits, the operation of Amulsar also creates significant problems, primarily environmental ones. Opponents to the authorities insist on the losses incurred by the exploitation of the mine to water resources and resorts of Armenia, "he noted.
According to the analyst's estimates, Pashinyan's meeting with the residents of Jermuk and civil activists who blocked Amulsar's work last year did not bring a solution. After Pashinyan recognized on August 19 the expediency of operating the mine, taking into account high environmental standards and the recommendations of the ELARD group, many of Jermuk residents, environmentalists and civic activists consider the prime minister to be almost a lobbyist for this project. "The bottom line of all this remains a very difficult dilemma. Civil society activists were the most loyal allies of Pashinyan and his My Step bloc. At the same time, the Amulsar project was considered a heritage of the past. The heritage, against which the Armenian prime minister has always been extremely careful. "Today Pashinyan is already deprived of this opportunity, now his position no longer leaves place for double interpretations," Markedonov concluded.
In 2018, the RA Investigative Committee opened a case on suspicion of causing environmental damage from production at the field. Lydian Armenia, in turn, ordered an environmental assessment from large international companies. Since 2018, three environmental assessments have been carried out, confirming that the development of Amulsar is carried out in accordance with all international standards and does not contain uncontrolled risks to the environment. The last of them the expert opinion of the international ELARD group with conclusions about the insignificance of the risks for the ecology of Armenia due to the operation of the mine was published on August 14, 2019 by the Investigative Committee. However, these arguments are not convincing for residents of Jermuk, civic activists and environmentalists.