ArmInfo. Increased confrontation in the Middle East, the region adjacent to us, among other things is one of the factors that actualized another escalation of the situation around Artsakh. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by expert on regional issues Karen Veranyan.
"Often, escalations on the Line of Contact of the opposing forces in Artsakh are mainly considered exclusively in the context of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. Thus, this situation is cut off from geopolitical, economic trends and processes, which leads to unidimensional, false understanding of the situation around the conflict," he noted.
Meanwhile, according to expert estimates, the development of a comprehensive assessment of the situation around the Artsakh conflict is possible only on condition of considering this problem, including from the point of view of the latest regional and international impulses. The latter, according to Veranyan, have direct or indirect effects, including on the Artsakh conflict.
In this light, the expert highlighted the contradictions along the Washington-Tehran, Tel Aviv-Tehran lines. According to his estimates, the US tactics to isolate Iran are inevitably projected onto the foreign policy of other countries in the region, including Armenia and Azerbaijan. Veranyan also noted the exacerbation of US-Turkish relations, due to the acquisition of the S-400 air defense system from Russia. According to his estimates, the contradictions between Ankara and Washington, in turn, affect the South Caucasus direction. Thus, Ankara, in order to insure itself against the possible consequences of a deal with Moscow, is fully capable of upsetting Washington's applecarts, through further destabilization of the situation, both in the Middle East and in the South Caucasus.
"All these scenarios, in turn, are due to Russian-Turkish relations. In particular, the issue of the geopolitical price that Turkey will pay for the acquisition of Russian complexes. And, of course, the answer to the question of what will be the reciprocal concession to Russia. All these questions are, at first glance, have no direct relationship with Armenia and the Artsakh conflict. However, it's also naive not to see their indirect consequences and influence on issues relating to Armenia and Artsakh today, " the expert concluded.