ArmInfo. Azerbaijan will not be allowed to unleash another war around Karabakh with substantially reduced financial resources and Turkey. Anatoly Tsyganok, director of the Military Forecasting Center of the Institute for Political and Military Analysis (Moscow), expressed this opinion to ArmInfo. "The agreement on the ceasefire from 1994 as a whole will be observed not least because of a significant reduction in the financial revenues of Azerbaijan.I can say that the purchase of new types of weapons, in contrast to past years, has already become a significant problem for Baku," he said. According to the report of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), only in 2015 Baku allocated 18% for military articles - up to $ 5 billion of all budget allocations. More than 85% of weapons Azerbaijan continues to import from Russia. According to unofficial data, during the years of Azerbaijan's independence, Moscow supplied weapons worth $ 12 billion to the country-participant of the Karabakh conflict. As a second factor in curbing the militancy of Baku regime, the military expert points out the lack of interest in the new Karabakh aggravation of Turkey. In this issue, according to his estimates, Ankara's position is consonant with the position of its temporary, but an ally in the person of Moscow. "Russia and Turkey will not want to spoil relations over Karabakh, it is unprofitable for the Kremlin or Ankara, these two countries will not simply allow Baku to initiate new military actions, which is why it is not necessary to predict the repetition of the April 2016 provocation in the near future. Despite periodic escalations on the line of contact, the ceasefire agreement will continue to be observed, in general, "the Tsyganok summed up. The OSCE Minsk Group has been dealing with the settlement of the Karabakh conflict since 1992, represented by the co-chairs from Russia, the United States and France. Currently, the settlement process is based on the Madrid Principles put forward by the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs in 2007 and the updated Madrid Principles in 2009, including, among other things, the deployment of a peacekeeping contingent in the conflict zone.