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 Thursday, November 9 2017 15:25

Analyst: Delivery of Artsakh territories as a result of Putin-Erdogan  deal is incapable to ensure long-term implementation of Armenian  interests 

Analyst: Delivery of Artsakh territories as a result of Putin-Erdogan  deal is incapable to ensure long-term implementation of Armenian  interests 

ArmInfo.The return of Artsakh territories as a result of the Putin-Erdogan deal is incapable  to ensure the long-term realization of Armenian interests and  peacekeeping , primarily because there is no guarantee of respect for  our interests by other participants in such a deal. Such an opinion  was expressed 6to ArmInfo by ex-Minister of Foreign Affairs of NKR,  independent analyst Arman Melikyan.

On the eve of the meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced discussion of other issues and the Karabakh problem  at the meeting. Erdogan expressed the supposition that if the Russian  colleague is concentrated on this issue, it "will be easily solved".

"Erdogan's offers on Artsakh can be accepted by Moscow only if they  correspond to the deepening and strengthening of Russian influence in  the region." In this light, Ankara's proposal seems most likely to  open the border with Armenia in exchange for deploying Russian  peacekeepers to the Artsakh territories handed over to Azerbaijan,  "the analyst suggested.

According to his estimates, thus, Russia will expand its military  presence in the district, Azerbaijan will get more than half of the  territory of Artsakh without recognizing the right of  self-determination of the Artsakh people, Armenia will get land  routes to the West, and Turkey will have new transit opportunities to  Azerbaijan through Armenia, along with a significant increase in its  influence on the whole South Caucasus.

The analyst sees the problem in a temporary nature of acquisitions of  the Armenian side against the backdrop of the strategic character of  the long-term achievements of Turkey, Russia and Azerbaijan of a  strategic nature. He estimates that Armenian acquisitions will  entirely depend on the goodwill of Russians or Turks, and Turkey is  also easily able to open the border with Armenia today and close it  tomorrow.  Similarly, the Russians under whose control the  Armenian-Turkish border is located can act.

According to Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov, Vladimir Putin  will meet with his Turkish colleague Recep Erdogan on November 13 in  Sochi. The presidents will discuss bilateral cooperation, as well as  the situation in Syria, in particular, the preparations for the  congress of the peoples of Syria and the congress of the national  dialogue.

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Все сказанное, конечно, представляет реальные возможные варианты развития событий, но не все. Прежде, чем начать какой - либо процесс мирного разрешения конфликта, нашей стороне необходимо четко определиться самим с собой и попытаться взглянуть самим на себя. Готовы ли мы к миру Сможем ли мы справиться с внутриполитическим развитием, чтобы на сцену не поднимались новые Унаняны, Сасна црер и всякие олигархические и мафиозные разборки. Даем ли мы себе отчет в том, почему все армянское вызывает у ближайших соседей столько неприятия. Для этого нужен честный и открытый диалог политиков с гражданами. Никто, кроме АНК не пытался даже попробовать.

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