Forecast: A referendum to immediately proclaim independence of Iraqi  Kurdistan will not lead

ArmInfo.The September 25 referendum on the immediate proclamation of the independence of Iraqi Kurdistan will not lead. Similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo of the head of the department of Iranian studies of YSU, orientalist Vardan Voskanyan.

According to preliminary data, more than 95% of the population of  Iraqi Kurdistan voted for the independence of the region from Iraq at  the September 25 referendum. According to the official representative  of the Supreme Independent Electoral Commission for the elections and  referendum Shirvan Zarari, 3 million 305 thousand 925 people took  part in the voting. The final results of the referendum will be made  public within 72 hours after the voting ends.

"It is clear that the government of Kurdistan will plan its further  actions based on the results of the plebiscite, however, the leader  of the autonomy Masud Barzani has already announced a negotiation  process on independence that can last more than two years and for the  successful completion of this process to the end the Kurdish  authorities were absolutely necessary get people's support, "he said.

According to the orientalist, Erbil is now trying to use the results  of the referendum to get great privileges from Baghdad. And also to  proclaim independence in the north of Iraq, in other words, on the  territories located beyond the recognized borders of the Iraqi  Kurdistan, where, for example, Kirkuk is located with its huge oil  reserves and 50% of the Iraqi gas reserves.

Voskanyan stressed that the referendum was supported only by Israel,  while no other country clearly sees Kurdistan as independent.  According to him, against the background of the diplomacy of  neighboring Iran, Turkey's tough stance, which already uses Erdogan's  threats and warnings, is even more emphasized.

"Given the negative reaction of the US and the countries of Western  Europe, it is obvious that the Kurdish problem with the relations  between Baghdad and Erbil is clearly not limited, affecting the  interests of many players.It is very important that Washington  opposes the independence of Kurdistan, while supporting the Kurds in  Syria, which, in fact, are the wing of the Kurdistan Workers' Party,  which is considered terrorist in the US Thus, Kurdistan is at the  epicenter of the clash of interests of many powers that goes far  beyond the relations of Iraqi Kurds with the Arabs, "- summed up  Voskanyan.