ArmInfo. The geopolitical consequences of the referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan can not be expected by definition. I think this also applies to the unsettled Karabakh conflict, Yevgeny Satanovsky, director of the Middle East Institute, believes.
The autonomy authorities of Iraqi Kurdistan, regardless of the opinion of Baghdad, intend to hold a referendum on independence from Iraq. In the opinion of the orientalist, no single international structure will recognize the results of the referendum in Iraq. The authorities of a number of countries have already reacted negatively to the idea of holding a referendum. In this light, in his opinion, it is not necessary to expect any serious geopolitical shocks in the nearby region from holding a referendum.
"The Iraqi Kurds have their own budget, oil fields, oil exports through Turkey and Iraq to the international market." In this light, this referendum is an attempt to exert pressure on Baghdad with the aim of knocking out additional preferences for the budget, oil transit, etc., "summed up Satanovsky .
The referendum on independence in Iraqi Kurdistan will be held on September 25. Most of the world leaders who spoke on this issue reacted negatively to this move by Erbil. Support was provided only by Israel. France took a neutral position.