ArmInfo.Ruben Safrastyan, director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) notes the tectonic shifts in the system of world politics and the crisis in relations between Russia and the United States. The development data, as the expert pointed out on August 8 at a meeting with journalists, are very dangerous for the countries of the South Caucasus.
According to the Turkologist, today we see a weakening of Turkey's position as a strategically important regional player. This, according to Safrastyan, was the result of those strategic mistakes made by the Turkish President Erdogan, which led to the deterioration of relations between Germany and Turkey, and, as a result, the decline of German investments in the Turkish economy. "It is because of the Turkish President's incoherent policy, his adventurism in Syria and Iraq, that Assad's power in Syria is becoming increasingly legitimate, along with the legitimization of Kurdish forces in Syria and the world," Safrastyan said.
According to the expert, on the background of the weakening of Turkey's positions, Iran's role will increase. In this connection, the Turkologist notes the importance of the presence of the Armenian delegation headed by the president at the inauguration of the elected head of the Islamic Republic of Iran Hasan Ruhani. According to Ruben Safrastyan, the Armenian-Iranian relations have already moved beyond the bilateral, becoming a factor of regional stability. The factor that Azerbaijan did not participate in the inauguration of the Iranian president, according to the turkologist, says that Baku is reviewing its regional policy, hinting at the US that follows the regional policy of Washington and encourages pressure on Iran.
In addition, according to Safrastyan, in the fall, we should expect the revitalization of the activities of the OSCE Minsk Group, which will try to stimulate the negotiation process on Karabakh settlement. At the same time, according to the Turkologist, Azerbaijan will certainly try to improve its positions in the negotiation process.