ArmInfo. The fixation of probable consequences of February military alarm and should it be reviewed as a run up to new escalation and as a defrosting of the conflict - is very important today, Russian expert Sergey Markedonov shares his opinion with ArmInfo.
To recall, on Feb 25 night the Azeri armed forces attempted to mount attacks on the southeastern (Martuni) and eastern (Akna) sections of the line of contact with the Artsakh troops by using special equipment and devices for demining. Due to the video surveillance devices, the forward detachments of the Defense Army of Artsakh fixed the advancement of the Azeri troops in both directions and made the adversary retreat.
In common, the February escalation should not be treated as an occasional event. On its own that escalation does not mean defrosting of the conflict or turning into new war. But the new wave of violence is an alarm signal, and it is not the first one. It states that probability of the most negative scenario implementation still exists, especially under conditions of an absence of political will to settle the conflict and to reach the compromise," he stated.
In this respect, the expert paid an attention to the meeting of OSCE Minsk Group Co-chairs with Azerbaijan and Armenia Foreign Ministers on the margins of Munich Safety Conference, and accentuated the necessity to hold back off any resuming of armed combat and observance of 1994-1995 and 2010-2011 years agreements.
On February 22 ArmenianFOreign Minsiter Edward nalbandyan paid a visit to Moscow.During the negotiations with his Russian colleague all the necessary references to the Munich agreements were made. First of all - the provision of non-resuming the military actions. But during February 25 night that provision was put under doubt.