Forecast: RPA will receive 60% of votes at parliamentary elections 

ArmInfo. On the upcoming parliamentary elections, the Republican Party of Armenia on April 2 will receive 60% of the votes. With such a forecast on February 21 at  a press conference in Yerevan spoke the political scientist, Director  of the Analytical Center on Globalization and Regional Cooperation  Stepan Grigoryan.

Grigoryan believes that the electoral process can happen in the three  scenarios. According to the first, the RPA assumes the victory of the  ruling party with 60% of votes. With the layouts analyst predicts 15%  of the voting to bloc "Tsarukyan" and "Dashnaktsutiun" and "Armenian  revival" by 5%. However, he believes that if the blocs "Elk",  "Ohanian-Raffi-Oskanian," and "Free Democrats" - "Freedom" and the  Armenian National Congress with the People's Party of Armenia will  hold a classical campaign, only one of them will get the ability to  enter the parliament.

The second scenario by the political scientist, includes the  consolidation of the opposition political and an aggressive campaign,  during which will be announced the problem of political prisoners,  difficult socio- economic conditions and tariffs for gas and  electricity. "In such a case the society will also consolidat and be  able to change the situation in the country", he said.

The third scenario, he considered the possible "force majeure" with  the beginning of hostilities by Azerbaijan. In this context, he is  bothered by the fact that the Defense Minister Vigen Sargsyan tops  the list of the Republican Party and will actively participate in the  campaign. "The government must realize who is our enemy and that  Azerbaijan may start fighting on the borders at any time ", said  Grigoryan.

To recall, the parliamentary elections in Armenia are scheduled on 2  April. According to the CEC, the official election campaign starts on  March 5, and complete on 31st. The election will take place on April  2 from 8:00 to 20:00. Preliminary results will be announced till  20:00 April 3rd. It will be the first elections after the adoption of  the constitutional reform of 2015, providing transition to a  parliamentary form of government. 9 political entities are registered  to participate in the election: four parties, three blocks and two  joint proportional lists. To carry out observation mission four  international organizations are invited - the Council of Europe,  PACE, OSCE and CIS Interparliamentary Assembly.