
ArmInfo.The "Middle Corridor," connecting Asia with Europe and bypassing alternative geopolitical centers, is no longer a theoretical project but has become a fully functioning highway, ready to handle unprecedented volumes of freight traffic. This is what Turkologist Angela Simonyan writes.
In this context, she analyzed the document, which, in her words, will shape the geopolitical landscape of the South Caucasus for decades to come.
The Turkologist noted that on June 8, 2026, the 10th anniversary trilateral meeting of the foreign ministers of Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia took place in the historic Ciragan Palace in Istanbul, which, incidentally, was built by Armenians. "The Istanbul Declaration, signed by Hakan Fidan, Jeyhun Bayramov, and Maka Bochorishvili, is not a routine statement. It is the legal and political foundation of a new regional architecture taking shape along our borders, where large-scale economic interests and strategic calculations are intertwined with diplomatic language, yet they also have a very specific and alarming subtext. The connecting framework of this new world order is formed by transport and logistics arteries that effectively bypass Armenia and increasingly tighten the ring around it," Simonyan said.
She noted that, with diplomatic precision, just a few days before the Istanbul meeting, on June 2, the modernization of the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway was officially completed in Akhalkalaki, Georgia, a fact that was immediately reflected in the declaration.
"This is a clear signal that the Middle Corridor, connecting Asia with Europe and bypassing alternative geopolitical centers, is no longer a theoretical project but has become a fully functioning highway, ready to handle unprecedented freight volumes. At the same time, traditional oil pipelines and the Southern Gas Corridor are being given a modern "green energy" veneer, through which Ankara and Baku are seeking to legitimize their positions in the eyes of their Western partners by exporting Caspian electricity, successfully leveraging global environmental platforms such as COP31 and WUF13," the expert believes.
However, according to her, such large-scale economic infrastructure projects require a reliable and impenetrable security shield, and this is where the most dangerous layer of the declaration is revealed. Simonyan noted that the parties are no longer limiting themselves to classic threats: the document prioritizes cyberattacks and hybrid warfare, demonstrating the deepening of joint institutional control mechanisms in the region.
"Loud statements about the inviolability of borders and territorial integrity, which at first glance are aimed at ensuring Georgia's geopolitical loyalty, in fact reinforce the reality in which the rules of the game in the South Caucasus are increasingly dictated exclusively by the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem. For the smooth functioning of this entire system, Ankara and Baku need only one final detail - Armenia's final reconciliation with the created realities, which in the text of the document is diplomatically called "positive dynamics" in the process of normalizing relations between Yerevan and Baku. But let's look at the situation without rose-colored glasses. We are not talking about fair regional coexistence, but about an organized "false peace." Calls for the speedy signing of a peace treaty are not a guarantee of stability, but an attempt to finally deprive Armenia of its own sovereign political course and turn it into a silent appendage of Turkish-Azerbaijani economic and political influence, the next act of which, in all likelihood, is planned to be played out in Georgia in 2027. year," Simonyan concluded.