The April war will leave even less space for compromises in Karabakh issue, Deputy Director of Caucasus Institute Sergey Minasyan stated at the a two-day international conference "Caucasus- 2015", held annually in Yerevan.
"In this light in my opinion one should not expect any developments aimed at final settlement of the conflict in the foreseeable future. I think that starting from April 2016 the negotiation process will develop in two directions, I have already mentioned the first one, the second relates to establishment of confidence building measures between the sides. This is necessary as after the April military escalation the sides found themselves in even deeper political deadlock than before", he noted.
Minasyan thinks that by initiating the April war Baku had not military but political goals, first and foremost trying to demonstrate that there is not any status-quo from 1994 both political and military one. By reaching agreement on ceasefire on April 5 Azerbaijan tried to disown ceasefire agreements between Yerevan and Stepanakert from the one side and Baku from the other side signed in 1994-1995.
In this context the expert thinks that despite the loss of several military positions the status-quo in Karabakh was maintained, however the level of its explosiveness grew. Minsyan considers that there will be no big war between Armenia and Azerbaijan due to restraining rocket potential.