Arminfo.info



 Thursday, May 19 2022 16:22
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Russia`s geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in  the South Caucasus will try to fill other centers of power

Forecast: Russia`s geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in  the South Caucasus will try to fill other centers of power

ArmInfo.Russia's objective geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in the South Caucasus will undoubtedly try to fill other centers of power. National  security expert Hrachya Arzumanyan expressed a similar opinion to  ArmInfo.

In his opinion, these geopolitical realities now pose a task for  Yerevan to choose the forces capable of deterring Turkey's potential  aggression against Armenia, in the conditions mentioned above, the  objective weakening of the Russian Federation and the inability of  the Armenian Armed Forces to solve tasks of this level, at least in  the coming years.

In this light, the expert considers that even if Moscow suddenly  decides to solve this problem, then its strategic alliance with  Ankara will inevitably get in the way. Not to mention the fact that  after the Ukrainian war, the Russian Federation may simply not be  able to do this. And here the question arises of who can replace the  Russian Federation as a deterrent to the Turkish threat, the issue,  which, according to the expert, is not addressed by Armenian politics  and diplomacy.

Moreover, in Arzumanyan's opinion, the lack of trust in the current  Armenian government as a whole leaves no way to trust the documents  it signs. Especially considering that these documents, as a rule, are  supplemented by verbal agreements, about which nothing is known not  only to the public, but also to the expert and analytical community  as a whole.

"And now, the parliamentary opposition launched a street struggle for  power in this situation, in which Artsakh continues to be occupied. A  struggle in which there is not only a strategy and policy, but also  real concern for the future of this very Artsakh. These people have  lost power and now they are just trying to regain it. And it's all.  While in the current situation, the first task of all political  forces is to restore the country after a 44-day catastrophe. First of  all, the restoration of the army, the formation of a fundamentally  new system of defense and security," Arzumanyan summed up.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Police opens road for participants of Tavush for Peace movementPolice opens road for participants of Tavush for Peace movement
Armenian Police intention to extend cordon around opera house caused  Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan`s anger Armenian Police intention to extend cordon around opera house caused  Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan`s anger 
This is dishonor to all of us -  archbishop about his compatriots  held in AzerbaijanThis is dishonor to all of us -  archbishop about his compatriots  held in Azerbaijan
Prime Minister of Armenia: Armenia-Azerbaijan borders delimitation  and demarcation process  should become one of the tools for Armenia  and Azerbaijan to learn to live peacefullyPrime Minister of Armenia: Armenia-Azerbaijan borders delimitation  and demarcation process  should become one of the tools for Armenia  and Azerbaijan to learn to live peacefully
Police chief: it was necessary to ensure safety of 2 thousand guests  who arrived at EBRD eventPolice chief: it was necessary to ensure safety of 2 thousand guests  who arrived at EBRD event
Bagrat Srbazan announces number of meetingsBagrat Srbazan announces number of meetings
Thousands of police officers were deployed near National Opera and  Ballet TheaterThousands of police officers were deployed near National Opera and  Ballet Theater
Poll: Over 50% of respondents do not see anyone as head of  transitional government in ArmeniaPoll: Over 50% of respondents do not see anyone as head of  transitional government in Armenia
FMO provided Ardshinbank with a guarantee for a credit portfolio of 20 million US dollarsFMO provided Ardshinbank with a guarantee for a credit portfolio of 20 million US dollars
Poll: More than half of respondents in Armenia positively assess  Poll: More than half of respondents in Armenia positively assess  "Tavush for Motherland" movement
RA MoD delegation participates in IDEB-2024 defense exhibition in  Bratislava RA MoD delegation participates in IDEB-2024 defense exhibition in  Bratislava 
Tavush for Motherland determined to hold protest in front of Opera  House Tavush for Motherland determined to hold protest in front of Opera  House 
Russia never offered Armenia complete withdrawal of frontier guards-  Maria Zakharova Russia never offered Armenia complete withdrawal of frontier guards-  Maria Zakharova 
Samvel Minasyan appointed commander of territorial defense forces Samvel Minasyan appointed commander of territorial defense forces 
The Power of One Dram Sums up the Two-Year Program with Teach for ArmeniaThe Power of One Dram Sums up the Two-Year Program with Teach for Armenia
Russian foreign ministry rep on warming of Armenian-Russian relations Russian foreign ministry rep on warming of Armenian-Russian relations 
Russian foreign ministry rep on USA, EU double standards in assessing  protests in Armenia, Georgia  Russian foreign ministry rep on USA, EU double standards in assessing  protests in Armenia, Georgia  
Police to block roads during EBRD forum in Yerevan Police to block roads during EBRD forum in Yerevan 
Azatazen organization issues statement on illegal detention of  co-founder, his comradesAzatazen organization issues statement on illegal detention of  co-founder, his comrades
Slovakia supports Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization Slovakia supports Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization 
Last year`s September events did not happen out of nowhere: Armenian  authorities recognized Artsakh as part of Azerbaijan - Russian Deputy  FMLast year`s September events did not happen out of nowhere: Armenian  authorities recognized Artsakh as part of Azerbaijan - Russian Deputy  FM
Inclusive dialogue within Inclusive dialogue within "3+3" platform and countering of  extra-regional forces` geopolitical dictatorship key to the  prosperity of South Caucasus - Mikhail Galuzin
Armenia, India to establish joint working group on bilateral defense cooperationArmenia, India to establish joint working group on bilateral defense cooperation
Tavush for Motherland movement will hold  protest rally on Freedom  Square tomorrowTavush for Motherland movement will hold  protest rally on Freedom  Square tomorrow
Azerbaijan is playing cat and mouse game with Armenia and the world -  analystAzerbaijan is playing cat and mouse game with Armenia and the world -  analyst
One of participants in peaceful protests in Yerevan suffered broken  leg due to disproportionate actions of Red Berets - StatementOne of participants in peaceful protests in Yerevan suffered broken  leg due to disproportionate actions of Red Berets - Statement
France, Civil Aviation Committee of Armenia sign technical  cooperation agreementFrance, Civil Aviation Committee of Armenia sign technical  cooperation agreement
Protection of Armenia`s borders with Iran and Turkiye will continue to be entrusted to Russian border guardsProtection of Armenia`s borders with Iran and Turkiye will continue to be entrusted to Russian border guards
Baku -Yerevan intensive negotiations resumed since Feb, Bayramov  saysBaku -Yerevan intensive negotiations resumed since Feb, Bayramov  says
President of Azerbaijan urges dissolution of OSCE MGPresident of Azerbaijan urges dissolution of OSCE MG
Beyond Filmmaking. PARAJANOV and FASHION Beyond Filmmaking. PARAJANOV and FASHION 
What is happening today on Yerevan`s streets implementation of  already introduced methods of struggle - clergyman What is happening today on Yerevan`s streets implementation of  already introduced methods of struggle - clergyman 
Armenian authorities launched psychological, moral and physical terror against their own people - clergyman Armenian authorities launched psychological, moral and physical terror against their own people - clergyman 
Actions of Actions of "red berets" against citizens during acts of civil disobedience clearly punitive in nature - Arman Tatoyan 
UN Committee against Torture is alarmed by extra-judicial killings,  torture and ill-treatment of Armenians by Azerbaijanis during armed  conflictsUN Committee against Torture is alarmed by extra-judicial killings,  torture and ill-treatment of Armenians by Azerbaijanis during armed  conflicts
Russian border guards leave Nerkin HandRussian border guards leave Nerkin Hand
Armenia to host 33rd EBRD Business Forum with flagship sponsorship of ArdshinbankArmenia to host 33rd EBRD Business Forum with flagship sponsorship of Ardshinbank
By PM`s decision, Sisian Boghossian relieved of her post as Tourism  Committee HeadBy PM`s decision, Sisian Boghossian relieved of her post as Tourism  Committee Head
All detained members of opposition movement have been releasedAll detained members of opposition movement have been released
NDP welcomes fact that it is Bagrat Srbazan who leads movement to  restore Armenian people`s dignityNDP welcomes fact that it is Bagrat Srbazan who leads movement to  restore Armenian people`s dignity
If Pashinyan remains in power, then Armenia will become not Russian  province, but Azerbaijani protectorate, which is even worse - Ara  PapyanIf Pashinyan remains in power, then Armenia will become not Russian  province, but Azerbaijani protectorate, which is even worse - Ara  Papyan
Protests of disobedience in Yerevan are suspended until the eveningProtests of disobedience in Yerevan are suspended until the evening
Political scientist: Azerbaijan takes processes taking place in  Armenia very seriouslyPolitical scientist: Azerbaijan takes processes taking place in  Armenia very seriously
UJA strongly condemns all police brutality against journalists  carrying out their professional activitiesUJA strongly condemns all police brutality against journalists  carrying out their professional activities
Azerbaijan concerned about developments in Armenia - Naira ZohrabyanAzerbaijan concerned about developments in Armenia - Naira Zohrabyan
Alain-Richard Donwahi, UNCCD COP 15 President arrives in ArmeniaAlain-Richard Donwahi, UNCCD COP 15 President arrives in Armenia
Lemkin Institute: By parroting Turkish narrative of 1915-1923events,  Armenian premier risks absolving Turkiye of its responsibility for  the Armenian GenocideLemkin Institute: By parroting Turkish narrative of 1915-1923events,  Armenian premier risks absolving Turkiye of its responsibility for  the Armenian Genocide
Armenian Apostolic Church has historically been cementing material  for ethnos - Metropolitan of Russian Orthodox ChurchArmenian Apostolic Church has historically been cementing material  for ethnos - Metropolitan of Russian Orthodox Church
Diplomacy and dialogue are the only path to stability and peace -  OSCE Chair-in-OfficeDiplomacy and dialogue are the only path to stability and peace -  OSCE Chair-in-Office
Armenian FM evades question about legality of use of Almaty  declaration as basis for border delimitation Armenian FM evades question about legality of use of Almaty  declaration as basis for border delimitation 
OSCE Chair-in-Office evades question about help in Artsakh residents`  return to their homesOSCE Chair-in-Office evades question about help in Artsakh residents`  return to their homes
Yerevan and Baku prefer to resolve issues and disagreements between  them in bilateral format - OSCE Chair-in-OfficeYerevan and Baku prefer to resolve issues and disagreements between  them in bilateral format - OSCE Chair-in-Office
IDBank issues the 2nd tranche of dollar bonds of 2024IDBank issues the 2nd tranche of dollar bonds of 2024
France welcomes talks between Armenian, Azerbaijani FMs held in  AlmatyFrance welcomes talks between Armenian, Azerbaijani FMs held in  Almaty
Azerbaijanis destroy Holy Ascension Church in BerdzorAzerbaijanis destroy Holy Ascension Church in Berdzor
Experts discuss problems of Armenia Experts discuss problems of Armenia 
134 protesters detained - report 134 protesters detained - report 
Order to use brute force by police issued by premier himself -  opposition MPOrder to use brute force by police issued by premier himself -  opposition MP
Opposition MP critical of police over Opposition MP critical of police over "efforts for bonuses"
Tavush for Motherland condemns violence against journalists Tavush for Motherland condemns violence against journalists 
Read more



Commented