ArmInfo. The current developments in Ukraine are quite capable of generating hostilities and clashes in Artsakh. And the more the conflict continues in and around Ukraine, the more the likelihood of such a possibility increases. Garik Keryan political scientist, chair of the Department of Political Institutions and Processes of the YSU Faculty of International Relations told ArmInfo.
"We have to state the fact of a very significant loosening of the security system of our entire region - the South Caucasus. Unfortunately, this was the result of a deception - Turkish diplomacy once again managed to fool the Russian elite. As a result of the 44-day Azerbaijani-Turkish aggression Armenia found itself in a practically defenseless state," he stressed.
According to Keryan, in the current situation, it is completely possible that Baku, together with Ankara, may well try to use this position of Armenia for their own purposes. Even against such a geopolitical background, the political scientist, by and large, sees no alternative to Russia in ensuring Armenia's security, in this light, considering it necessary not only to maintain the current level of relations with Moscow, but also to develop them.
"Nevertheless, in the process of developing the Moscow-Yerevan strategic alliance, it is very important and necessary to be extremely careful in all our assessments and messages in the context of Ukraine, and in fact, in relations with Moscow. The sanctions prepared by the West are now directed against the countries allied with the Russian Federation as well, and may weaken our country even more. So, the Armenian authorities have no other alternative to the extremely cautious, carefully calibrated and competent foreign policy course," he stressed.
Keryan is extremely pessimistic about the possibility and prospects of changing the geopolitical and foreign policy orientation of Armenia. The political scientist considers the thoughts and calls in favor of a radical change in the foreign policy course voiced by the Armenian expert and analytical community as unrealistic and having no real foundation. In his opinion, the separation of Armenia from Russia will in no way bring it into the sphere of influence and patronage of the West. According to the political scientist, such expectations from the West are overestimated, and the geopolitical reality does not contain any serious interest of the West towards Armenia, at least in this period.