ArmInfo.Only time will tell whether Ilham Aliyev will get rid of Elmar Mammadyarov or not. However, the probability of his removal from his post is quite high. MP of the Armenian parliament from the "My Step" bloc, expert on Azerbaijan Tatevik Hayrapetyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
"In this light, we need to take into account Mammadyarov's vast diplomatic experience - he has been the head of the Foreign Ministry since 2004. And his replacement can really affect the negotiation process in a certain way. In any case, it is necessary to wait for further developments. Recent arrests in the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry are noteworthy in view of the fact that a month ago Mammadyarov himself appealed to the State Security Service with a complaint about the spread of slander in his regard. It was about the real estate he acquired in New York>, she said.
On July 3, the State Security Service of Azerbaijan conducted a special operation in the country's Foreign Ministry, as a result of which high-ranking officials of the ministry Farhad Mollazadeh, Salim Alizadeh and Nurupasha Abdullayev were arrested for abuse of authority, misappropriation and receiving bribes. It is noteworthy that these officials are in Mammadyarov's inner circle.
According to the expert, in Azerbaijan there is serious dissatisfaction with both the activities of the Minister of Foreign Affairs and the head of the defense department Zakir Hasanov. And the inauguration ceremony of Artsakh President Arayik Harutyunyan in Shushi exacerbated this discontent. Hayrapetyan believes that President Aliyev takes all this into account and uses for his benefit for quite some time.
According to Hayrapetyan, Aliyev already has candidates on hand to replace Mammadyarov. One of these candidates is the head of the presidential administration, Hikmet Hajiyev. The latter has been engaged in quite active foreign policy activities, having made several visits to European capitals before the coronavirus pandemic. Thus, Hajiyev is already trying to play diplomatic games, which, according to her estimates, should be taken into account.
"In general, the campaign against Mammadyarov in a certain way is really connected with the negotiations on Artsakh. And the joint statement of the parties following the recent video conference Mnatsakanyan- Mammadyarov clearly indicates that the points of the negotiated agenda put forward by Armenia become an important part of the international agenda. In any case, Aliyev is quite capable of blaming Mammadyarov for dissatisfaction with the negotiations and dismiss him. Especially considering that Mehriban Aliyeva is digging deep enough under the head of the Foreign Ministry, "the parliamentarian concluded.