ArmInfo. Azerbaijan has adopted a certain strategy in Karabakh issue- to stay in the negotiation process at the same time exerting pressure on the two Armenian states by making statements and escalating the situation on the Line of Contact, political scientist, Director of Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan stated at the press conference on June 26.
He noted that this policy will continue. Moreover, according to the political scientist at the moment no key changes are practically possible in Karabakh conflict. Iskandaryan noted that Azerbaijan very carefully follows the political developments taking place in both Armenian states, trying to understand whether it can benefit from the current situation. "Certainly, at first Baku was expecting that security system will collapse and that is why it accumulated equipment along the line of contact but as this did not happen, Azerbaijan refrained from military actions", the expert noted.
The political scientist noted that currently Baku conducts quite aggressive policy and the Defense Minister's statements and process of militarization testify to this. "Prior to April war Azerbaijan had spent significant amounts of money on purchasing weapons, now it does not have such resources. However, in order to demonstrate that acquisition of weapons continues the authorities of Azerbaijan sometimes purchase high price equipment such as US Bell-412 helicopters", Iskandaryan stressed. The expert also ruled out the possibility of a full-scale war between Artsakh and Azerbaijan, however, did not exclude the possibility of a repetition of the April events. According to the political scientist there will t be no large-scale war, as the opportunities of major achievements are very poor while the risks are too high. "Such an escalation can happen again, at about the same scale, however, one must take into account that the situation is completely different at the moment. For example, Artsakh has significantly strengthened its positions on the contact line, and Baku learned lessons from the April events, "the political scientist noted. In this light Iskandaryan noted that all the recent activity that took place in Nakhijevan is just a PR stunt. "Baku can try to attack from Nakhchivan only in case of a full-scale war, and such a war is not expected in the near future," the expert said.